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Tommy Paul v Ugo Humbert
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Tommy Paul (Хозяева)
Прогноз 61.08%1.64справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.66%
Преимущество -1.03%
Kelly -2.72%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.61
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
60.10%61.32%60.91%64.16%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.451.531.531.6168.97%65.55%65.36%62.11%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ugo Humbert (Гости)
Прогноз 38.92%2.57справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.13%
Преимущество +1.18%
Kelly +1.90%
Рост +0.059%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.65
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
35.84%38.68%39.09%39.90%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.352.502.502.6542.55%40.02%40.00%37.74%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Tommy Paul (Хозяева): 61.08%; Ugo Humbert (Гости): 38.92%. Для исхода «Ugo Humbert (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.57. 18 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 2.65, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +3.13%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (61 букмекерская контора)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +3.13%E +1.18%K +1.90%G +0.059% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 14:57 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.38%E -5.58%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +1.19%E +0.456%K +0.742%G +0.009% | 5.1% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +1.19%E +0.456%K +0.742%G +0.009% | 6.0% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -3.49%E -2.21%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV -0.759%E -0.298%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.38%E -5.58%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.759%E -0.298%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.38%E -5.58%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.759%E -0.298%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -1.15%E -0.452%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -2.88%E -1.81%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -1.54%E -0.608%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-20 14:58 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.93%E -3.85%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.54%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.38%E -5.58%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.38%E -5.58%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.38%E -5.58%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -6.54%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -3.09%E -1.24%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.93%E -3.85%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.48%E -1.40%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -1.66%E -1.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -1.66%E -1.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.49%E -2.21%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.93%E -3.85%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.54%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.54%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.82%E -2.40%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.82%E -2.40%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.60%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.60%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.32%E -3.43%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.60%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-20 14:58 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.93%E -3.85%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.60%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -7.77%E -5.14%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -6.60%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -11.43%E -7.88%K -25.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -6.60%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -6.99%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -6.99%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.38%E -3.10%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.38%E -3.10%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.54%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.38%E -3.10%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-20 14:58 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.54%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.76%E -3.28%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.54%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.76%E -3.28%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.54%E -3.64%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.32%E -3.43%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.54%E -3.64%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.32%E -3.43%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.54%E -3.64%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.16%E -4.71%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.54%E -3.64%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 0.4% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 0.4% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 0.4% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95% | 1.4% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65% | 2.2% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |