مدرسة الاحتمالات

Tommy Paul v Ugo Humbert

البداية: 2026-06-20 15:05 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Tommy Paul (المضيف)

التنبؤ 61.08%1.64السعر العادل
EV -1.66%
الأفضلية -1.03%
Kelly -2.72%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.61

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
60.10%61.32%60.91%64.16%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.451.531.531.6168.97%65.55%65.36%62.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Ugo Humbert (الضيف)

التنبؤ 38.92%2.57السعر العادل
EV +3.13%
الأفضلية +1.18%
Kelly +1.90%
النمو +0.059%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
35.84%38.68%39.09%39.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.352.502.502.6542.55%40.02%40.00%37.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +3.13%E +1.18%K +1.90%G +0.059%5.3%2026-06-20 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034%5.6%2026-06-20 15:00
Grosvenor1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034%5.6%2026-06-20 14:59
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034%5.6%2026-06-20 15:00
TABtouch1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034%5.6%2026-06-20 14:59
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034%5.6%2026-06-20 14:59
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034%5.6%2026-06-20 14:59
Casumo1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034%5.6%2026-06-20 14:59
Unibet (NL)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034%5.6%2026-06-20 15:00
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034%5.6%2026-06-20 14:59
Unibet (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034%5.6%2026-06-20 15:00
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034%5.6%2026-06-20 15:00
ATG (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034%5.6%2026-06-20 15:00
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034%5.6%2026-06-20 14:57
Bally Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034%5.6%2026-06-20 14:59
Svenska Spel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034%5.6%2026-06-20 15:00
Dabble (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.38%E -5.58%K -16.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +1.19%E +0.456%K +0.742%G +0.009%5.1%2026-06-20 15:00
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +1.19%E +0.456%K +0.742%G +0.009%6.0%2026-06-20 15:00
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -3.49%E -2.21%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV -0.759%E -0.298%K -0.490%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-20 15:00
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.38%E -5.58%K -16.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.759%E -0.298%K -0.490%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 15:00
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.38%E -5.58%K -16.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.759%E -0.298%K -0.490%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 14:59
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -1.15%E -0.452%K -0.746%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-20 14:59
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -2.88%E -1.81%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -1.54%E -0.608%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-20 14:59
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-20 14:58
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 14:59
BetAnything1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 14:59
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 14:59
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 15:00
Coolbet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.93%E -3.85%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-20 14:59
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.54%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-20 15:00
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.38%E -5.58%K -16.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-20 14:59
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.38%E -5.58%K -16.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-20 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.38%E -5.58%K -16.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-20 14:59
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -6.54%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -3.09%E -1.24%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-20 15:00
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.93%E -3.85%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.48%E -1.40%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 14:59
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -1.66%E -1.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-20 15:00
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -1.66%E -1.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-20 14:59
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.49%E -2.21%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 14:59
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-20 14:59
Betclic (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.93%E -3.85%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 14:59
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.54%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 15:00
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.54%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 14:59
ReBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.82%E -2.40%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-20 14:59
Unibet (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.82%E -2.40%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-20 14:59
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.60%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 14:59
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.60%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 15:00
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.32%E -3.43%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.60%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 14:58
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.93%E -3.85%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.60%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-20 14:59
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -7.77%E -5.14%K -15.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -6.60%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-20 15:00
TAB1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -11.43%E -7.88%K -25.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -6.60%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-20 15:00
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -6.99%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 14:59
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -6.99%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 15:00
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.38%E -3.10%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-20 15:00
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.38%E -3.10%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-20 15:00
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.54%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.38%E -3.10%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-20 14:58
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.54%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.76%E -3.28%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-20 15:00
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.54%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.76%E -3.28%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-20 15:00
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.54%E -3.64%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-20 14:59
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.32%E -3.43%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.54%E -3.64%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-20 14:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.32%E -3.43%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.54%E -3.64%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-20 14:59
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.16%E -4.71%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.54%E -3.64%K -6.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-20 15:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-06-20 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-06-20 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-06-20 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-06-20 15:00
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.4%2026-06-20 15:00
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%2.2%2026-06-20 15:00