La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Tommy Paul v Ugo Humbert
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Tommy Paul (Local)
Predicción 61.08%1.64momio equitativo
EV -1.66%
Ventaja -1.03%
Kelly -2.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.10%61.32%60.91%64.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.451.531.531.6168.97%65.55%65.36%62.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Ugo Humbert (Visitante)
Predicción 38.92%2.57momio equitativo
EV +3.13%
Ventaja +1.18%
Kelly +1.90%
Crecimiento +0.059%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.84%38.68%39.09%39.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.502.502.6542.55%40.02%40.00%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +3.13%E +1.18%K +1.90%G +0.059% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Unibet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Casumo | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| betPARX | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 14:57 |
| Bally Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.38%E -5.58%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +1.19%E +0.456%K +0.742%G +0.009% | 5.1% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +1.19%E +0.456%K +0.742%G +0.009% | 6.0% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -3.49%E -2.21%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV -0.759%E -0.298%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.38%E -5.58%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.759%E -0.298%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.38%E -5.58%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.759%E -0.298%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -1.15%E -0.452%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| GTbets | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -2.88%E -1.81%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -1.54%E -0.608%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-20 14:58 |
| Bovada | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| BetUS | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.93%E -3.85%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.54%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.38%E -5.58%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.38%E -5.58%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.38%E -5.58%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -6.54%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -3.09%E -1.24%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.93%E -3.85%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.48%E -1.40%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -1.66%E -1.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -1.66%E -1.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.49%E -2.21%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.93%E -3.85%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.54%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.54%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| ReBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.82%E -2.40%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.82%E -2.40%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.60%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.60%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.32%E -3.43%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.60%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-20 14:58 |
| BetMGM | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.93%E -3.85%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.60%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Fliff | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -7.77%E -5.14%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -6.60%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| TAB | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -11.43%E -7.88%K -25.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -6.60%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Betsson | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -6.99%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -6.99%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.38%E -3.10%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.38%E -3.10%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.54%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.38%E -3.10%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-20 14:58 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.54%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.76%E -3.28%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.54%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.76%E -3.28%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Caesars | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.54%E -3.64%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Neds | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.32%E -3.43%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.54%E -3.64%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.32%E -3.43%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.54%E -3.64%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.16%E -4.71%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.54%E -3.64%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 0.4% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 0.4% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 0.4% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Novig | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95% | 1.4% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65% | 2.2% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |