L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Tommy Paul v Ugo Humbert
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Tommy Paul (Local)
Prévision 61.08%1.64cote équitable
EV -1.66%
Avantage -1.03%
Kelly -2.72%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.61
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.10%61.32%60.91%64.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.451.531.531.6168.97%65.55%65.36%62.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Ugo Humbert (Visiteur)
Prévision 38.92%2.57cote équitable
EV +3.13%
Avantage +1.18%
Kelly +1.90%
Croissance +0.059%
avec la cote maximale 2.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.84%38.68%39.09%39.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.502.502.6542.55%40.02%40.00%37.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +3.13%E +1.18%K +1.90%G +0.059% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Unibet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Casumo | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| betPARX | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 14:57 |
| Bally Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.38%E -5.58%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +1.19%E +0.456%K +0.742%G +0.009% | 5.1% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +1.19%E +0.456%K +0.742%G +0.009% | 6.0% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -3.49%E -2.21%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV -0.759%E -0.298%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.38%E -5.58%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.759%E -0.298%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.38%E -5.58%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.759%E -0.298%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -1.15%E -0.452%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| GTbets | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -2.88%E -1.81%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -1.54%E -0.608%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-20 14:58 |
| Bovada | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| BetUS | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.93%E -3.85%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.54%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.38%E -5.58%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.38%E -5.58%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.38%E -5.58%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -6.54%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -3.09%E -1.24%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.93%E -3.85%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.48%E -1.40%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -1.66%E -1.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -1.66%E -1.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.49%E -2.21%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.93%E -3.85%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.54%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.54%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| ReBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.82%E -2.40%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.82%E -2.40%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.60%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.60%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.32%E -3.43%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.60%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-20 14:58 |
| BetMGM | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.93%E -3.85%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.60%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Fliff | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -7.77%E -5.14%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -6.60%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| TAB | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -11.43%E -7.88%K -25.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -6.60%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Betsson | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -6.99%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -6.99%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.38%E -3.10%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.38%E -3.10%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.54%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.38%E -3.10%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-20 14:58 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.54%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.76%E -3.28%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.54%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.76%E -3.28%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Caesars | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.54%E -3.64%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Neds | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.32%E -3.43%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.54%E -3.64%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.32%E -3.43%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.54%E -3.64%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.16%E -4.71%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.54%E -3.64%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 0.4% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 0.4% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 0.4% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Novig | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95% | 1.4% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65% | 2.2% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |