La scuola delle quote

Tommy Paul v Ugo Humbert

Inizio: 2026-06-20 15:05 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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61 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Tommy Paul (Casa)

Previsione 61.08%1.64quota equa
EV -1.66%
Vantaggio -1.03%
Kelly -2.72%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.61

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.10%61.32%60.91%64.16%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.451.531.531.6168.97%65.55%65.36%62.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Ugo Humbert (Trasferta)

Previsione 38.92%2.57quota equa
EV +3.13%
Vantaggio +1.18%
Kelly +1.90%
Crescita +0.059%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.84%38.68%39.09%39.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.352.502.502.6542.55%40.02%40.00%37.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +3.13%E +1.18%K +1.90%G +0.059%5.3%2026-06-20 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034%5.6%2026-06-20 15:00
Grosvenor1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034%5.6%2026-06-20 14:59
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034%5.6%2026-06-20 15:00
TABtouch1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034%5.6%2026-06-20 14:59
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034%5.6%2026-06-20 14:59
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034%5.6%2026-06-20 14:59
Casumo1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034%5.6%2026-06-20 14:59
Unibet (NL)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034%5.6%2026-06-20 15:00
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034%5.6%2026-06-20 14:59
Unibet (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034%5.6%2026-06-20 15:00
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034%5.6%2026-06-20 15:00
ATG (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034%5.6%2026-06-20 15:00
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034%5.6%2026-06-20 14:57
Bally Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034%5.6%2026-06-20 14:59
Svenska Spel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034%5.6%2026-06-20 15:00
Dabble (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.38%E -5.58%K -16.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +1.19%E +0.456%K +0.742%G +0.009%5.1%2026-06-20 15:00
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +1.19%E +0.456%K +0.742%G +0.009%6.0%2026-06-20 15:00
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -3.49%E -2.21%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV -0.759%E -0.298%K -0.490%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-20 15:00
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.38%E -5.58%K -16.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.759%E -0.298%K -0.490%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 15:00
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.38%E -5.58%K -16.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.759%E -0.298%K -0.490%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 14:59
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -1.15%E -0.452%K -0.746%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-20 14:59
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -2.88%E -1.81%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -1.54%E -0.608%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-20 14:59
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-20 14:58
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 14:59
BetAnything1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 14:59
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 14:59
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 15:00
Coolbet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.93%E -3.85%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-20 14:59
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.54%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-20 15:00
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.38%E -5.58%K -16.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-20 14:59
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.38%E -5.58%K -16.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-20 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.38%E -5.58%K -16.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-20 14:59
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -6.54%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -3.09%E -1.24%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-20 15:00
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.93%E -3.85%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.48%E -1.40%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 14:59
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -1.66%E -1.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-20 15:00
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -1.66%E -1.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-20 14:59
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.49%E -2.21%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 14:59
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-20 14:59
Betclic (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.93%E -3.85%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 14:59
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.54%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 15:00
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.54%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 14:59
ReBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.82%E -2.40%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-20 14:59
Unibet (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.82%E -2.40%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-20 14:59
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.60%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 14:59
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.60%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 15:00
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.32%E -3.43%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.60%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 14:58
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.93%E -3.85%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.60%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-20 14:59
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -7.77%E -5.14%K -15.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -6.60%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-20 15:00
TAB1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -11.43%E -7.88%K -25.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -6.60%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-20 15:00
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -6.99%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 14:59
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -6.99%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 15:00
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.38%E -3.10%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-20 15:00
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.38%E -3.10%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-20 15:00
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.54%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.38%E -3.10%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-20 14:58
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.54%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.76%E -3.28%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-20 15:00
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.54%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.76%E -3.28%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-20 15:00
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.54%E -3.64%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-20 14:59
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.32%E -3.43%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.54%E -3.64%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-20 14:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.32%E -3.43%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.54%E -3.64%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-20 14:59
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.16%E -4.71%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.54%E -3.64%K -6.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-20 15:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-06-20 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-06-20 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-06-20 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-06-20 15:00
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.4%2026-06-20 15:00
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%2.2%2026-06-20 15:00