Język:Polski
Tommy Paul v Ugo Humbert
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Tommy Paul (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 61.08%1.64kurs godziwy
EV -1.66%
Przewaga -1.03%
Kelly -2.72%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.61
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
60.10%61.32%60.91%64.16%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.451.531.531.6168.97%65.55%65.36%62.11%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Ugo Humbert (Goście)
Prognoza 38.92%2.57kurs godziwy
EV +3.13%
Przewaga +1.18%
Kelly +1.90%
Wzrost +0.059%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.65
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
35.84%38.68%39.09%39.90%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.352.502.502.6542.55%40.02%40.00%37.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Tommy Paul (Gospodarze): 61.08%; Ugo Humbert (Goście): 38.92%. Dla wyniku Ugo Humbert (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.57. 18 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.65, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +3.13%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (61 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +3.13%E +1.18%K +1.90%G +0.059% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 14:57 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.35%E +0.895%K +1.44%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.38%E -5.58%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +1.19%E +0.456%K +0.742%G +0.009% | 5.1% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +1.19%E +0.456%K +0.742%G +0.009% | 6.0% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -3.49%E -2.21%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV -0.759%E -0.298%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.38%E -5.58%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.759%E -0.298%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.38%E -5.58%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.759%E -0.298%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -9.60%E -6.49%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -1.15%E -0.452%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -2.88%E -1.81%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -1.54%E -0.608%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-20 14:58 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.93%E -3.85%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.54%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.38%E -5.58%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.38%E -5.58%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.38%E -5.58%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.71%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -6.54%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -3.09%E -1.24%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.93%E -3.85%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.48%E -1.40%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -1.66%E -1.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -1.66%E -1.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.49%E -2.21%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.93%E -3.85%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.54%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.54%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.82%E -2.40%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.82%E -2.40%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.60%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.60%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.32%E -3.43%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.60%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-20 14:58 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.93%E -3.85%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.60%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -7.77%E -5.14%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -6.60%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -11.43%E -7.88%K -25.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -6.60%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -6.99%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -6.99%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.38%E -3.10%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.38%E -3.10%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.54%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.38%E -3.10%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-20 14:58 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.54%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.76%E -3.28%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.54%E -4.28%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.76%E -3.28%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.54%E -3.64%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.32%E -3.43%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.54%E -3.64%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.32%E -3.43%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.54%E -3.64%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.16%E -4.71%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.54%E -3.64%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 0.4% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 0.4% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 0.4% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95% | 1.4% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65% | 2.2% | 2026-06-20 15:00 |