Language:English
Jakub Mensik v Adrian Mannarino
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jakub Mensik (Local)
Prediction 63.59%1.57fair odd
EV -0.799%
Edge -0.512%
Kelly -1.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.10%63.64%63.41%65.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.471.481.5671.43%67.84%67.57%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Adrian Mannarino (Visit)
Prediction 36.41%2.75fair odd
EV +2.31%
Edge +0.822%
Kelly +1.28%
Growth +0.030%
assuming max odds 2.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.12%36.36%36.59%39.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.612.602.8142.55%38.36%38.46%35.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jakub Mensik (Local): 63.59%; Adrian Mannarino (Visit): 36.41%. For Adrian Mannarino (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.75. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.81, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.31%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.35%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.65%EV +2.31%E +0.822%K +1.28%G +0.030% | 2.7% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -7.79%E -5.38%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +1.95%E +0.695%K +1.08%G +0.021% | 4.7% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.43%E -5.85%K -19.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +0.127%E +0.046%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -0.966%E -0.355%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -0.966%E -0.355%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -9.70%E -6.83%K -23.10%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -0.966%E -0.355%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.69%E -0.627%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-16 10:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.69%E -0.627%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-16 10:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.69%E -0.627%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -2.79%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 10:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.60%EV -10.97%E -7.84%K -27.43%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.40%EV -2.79%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-16 10:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 10:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -9.07%E -6.34%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-16 10:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.70%E -6.83%K -23.10%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.43%E -5.85%K -19.16%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -10.97%E -7.84%K -27.43%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 10:28 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -10.97%E -7.84%K -27.43%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 10:38 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -7.16%E -4.90%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -7.16%E -4.90%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.79%E -5.38%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 10:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.43%E -5.85%K -19.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -9.07%E -6.34%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -9.07%E -6.34%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -9.07%E -6.34%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -7.52%E -2.96%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.13%EV -7.16%E -4.90%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-16 10:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.92%EV -10.97%E -7.84%K -27.43%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.08%EV -9.70%E -3.91%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -0.799%E -0.512%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -14.44%E -6.14%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-16 10:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16% | 0.1% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10% | 2.5% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |