Szkoła Kursów

Jakub Mensik v Adrian Mannarino

Początek: 2026-06-16 11:30 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

63 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Jakub Mensik (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 63.59%1.57kurs godziwy
EV -0.799%
Przewaga -0.512%
Kelly -1.43%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.56

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
60.10%63.64%63.41%65.88%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.401.471.481.5671.43%67.84%67.57%64.10%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Adrian Mannarino (Goście)

Prognoza 36.41%2.75kurs godziwy
EV +2.31%
Przewaga +0.822%
Kelly +1.28%
Wzrost +0.030%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.81

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
34.12%36.36%36.59%39.90%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.352.612.602.8142.55%38.36%38.46%35.59%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (63 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 65.35%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.65%EV +2.31%E +0.822%K +1.28%G +0.030%2.7%2026-06-16 10:30
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -7.79%E -5.38%K -17.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +1.95%E +0.695%K +1.08%G +0.021%4.7%2026-06-16 10:30
DraftKings1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.43%E -5.85%K -19.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +0.127%E +0.046%K +0.072%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 10:40
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -0.966%E -0.355%K -0.561%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-16 10:30
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -0.966%E -0.355%K -0.561%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-16 10:30
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -9.70%E -6.83%K -23.10%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -0.966%E -0.355%K -0.561%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-16 10:40
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.69%E -0.627%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-16 10:29
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.69%E -0.627%K -0.996%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 10:29
BetAnything1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.69%E -0.627%K -0.996%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 10:30
Marathon Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -2.79%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 10:29
GTbets1.40I 71.43%NM 65.60%EV -10.97%E -7.84%K -27.43%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.40%EV -2.79%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-16 10:29
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-16 10:40
ReBet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 10:29
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 10:30
Unibet (NL)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 10:40
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 10:40
Casumo1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 10:40
Unibet (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 10:40
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 10:40
Svenska Spel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 10:40
ATG (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 10:40
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 10:40
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 10:40
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -9.07%E -6.34%K -21.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 10:29
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.70%E -6.83%K -23.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 10:30
Bally Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 10:30
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.43%E -5.85%K -19.16%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 10:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -10.97%E -7.84%K -27.43%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-16 10:40
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 10:28
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 10:30
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -10.97%E -7.84%K -27.43%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-16 10:40
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 10:30
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 10:30
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 10:30
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 10:40
Dabble (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 10:30
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 10:38
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 10:40
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 10:40
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -7.16%E -4.90%K -15.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 10:40
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -7.16%E -4.90%K -15.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 10:40
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.79%E -5.38%K -17.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 10:29
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.43%E -5.85%K -19.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-16 10:30
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 10:30
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 10:30
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -9.07%E -6.34%K -21.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-16 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -9.07%E -6.34%K -21.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-16 10:40
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -9.07%E -6.34%K -21.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-16 10:40
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -7.52%E -2.96%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 10:40
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 10:30
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 10:30
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 10:30
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 10:30
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 10:30
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-16 10:30
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-16 10:30
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-16 10:30
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-16 10:30
Betclic (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 63.13%EV -7.16%E -4.90%K -15.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-16 10:39
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.92%EV -10.97%E -7.84%K -27.43%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.08%EV -9.70%E -3.91%K -6.56%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-16 10:40
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -0.799%E -0.512%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -14.44%E -6.14%K -10.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 10:39
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16%0.1%2026-06-16 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-06-16 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-06-16 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-06-16 10:40
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-06-16 10:40
Novig1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%2.5%2026-06-16 10:40