Jakub Mensik v Adrian Mannarino

Начало: 2026-06-16 11:30 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

63 букмекерские конторы (21 в анализе )

64%

36%

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Jakub Mensik (Хозяева)

Прогноз 63.59%1.57справедливый коэффициент

EV -0.799%

Преимущество -0.512%

Kelly -1.43%

Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.56

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор

60.10%63.64%63.41%65.88%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Распределение коэффициентов

1.401.471.481.5671.43%67.84%67.57%64.10%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Adrian Mannarino (Гости)

Прогноз 36.41%2.75справедливый коэффициент

EV +2.31%

Преимущество +0.822%

Kelly +1.28%

Рост +0.030%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.81

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор

34.12%36.36%36.59%39.90%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Распределение коэффициентов

2.352.612.602.8142.55%38.36%38.46%35.59%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (63 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контора	Хозяева	Гости ▼	Маржа	Обновлено
Pinnacle	1.49I 67.11%NM 65.35%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.72%G +0.000%	2.81I 35.59%NM 34.65%EV +2.31%E +0.822%K +1.28%G +0.030%	2.7%	2026-06-16 10:30
BetUS	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -7.79%E -5.38%K -17.32%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +1.95%E +0.695%K +1.08%G +0.021%	4.7%	2026-06-16 10:30
DraftKings	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.43%E -5.85%K -19.16%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +0.127%E +0.046%K +0.072%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-16 10:40
BetOnline.ag	1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%	2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -0.966%E -0.355%K -0.561%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-06-16 10:30
LowVig.ag	1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%	2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -0.966%E -0.355%K -0.561%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-06-16 10:30
FanDuel	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -9.70%E -6.83%K -23.10%G +0.000%	2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -0.966%E -0.355%K -0.561%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-06-16 10:40
Unibet (FR)	1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.69%E -0.627%K -0.996%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-06-16 10:29
Bovada	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.69%E -0.627%K -0.996%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-06-16 10:29
BetAnything	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.69%E -0.627%K -0.996%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-06-16 10:30
Marathon Bet	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.88%G +0.000%	2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -2.79%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-06-16 10:29
GTbets	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.60%EV -10.97%E -7.84%K -27.43%G +0.000%	2.67I 37.45%NM 34.40%EV -2.79%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000%	8.9%	2026-06-16 10:29
Winamax (DE)	1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-06-16 10:40
ReBet	1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.72%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-06-16 10:29
Bet Right	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-16 10:30
Unibet (NL)	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-16 10:40
BetRivers	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-16 10:40
Casumo	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-16 10:40
Unibet (SE)	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-16 10:40
Unibet	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-16 10:40
Svenska Spel	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-16 10:40
ATG (SE)	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-16 10:40
betPARX	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-16 10:40
Hard Rock Bet	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-16 10:40
NetBet (FR)	1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -9.07%E -6.34%K -21.08%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-06-16 10:29
Tipico (DE)	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.70%E -6.83%K -23.10%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-06-16 10:30
Bally Bet	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.72%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-16 10:30
Sky Bet	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.43%E -5.85%K -19.16%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-06-16 10:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -10.97%E -7.84%K -27.43%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%	9.5%	2026-06-16 10:40
1xBet	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-06-16 10:28
betfred_uk	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-06-16 10:30
Paddy Power	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -10.97%E -7.84%K -27.43%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-06-16 10:40
Betway	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-16 10:30
William Hill	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-16 10:30
Unibet (UK)	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-16 10:30
Coolbet	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-16 10:40
Dabble (AU)	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-16 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-16 10:30
Betr (AU)	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-16 10:38
TABtouch	1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.88%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-06-16 10:40
Grosvenor	1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.88%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-06-16 10:40
LiveScore Bet	1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -7.16%E -4.90%K -15.56%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-06-16 10:40
Virgin Bet	1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -7.16%E -4.90%K -15.56%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-06-16 10:40
Bet Victor	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.79%E -5.38%K -17.32%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-06-16 10:29
Everygame	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.43%E -5.85%K -19.16%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-06-16 10:30
Winamax (FR)	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-16 10:30
PlayUp	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-16 10:30
LeoVegas	1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -9.07%E -6.34%K -21.08%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-06-16 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)	1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -9.07%E -6.34%K -21.08%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-06-16 10:40
Fliff	1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -9.07%E -6.34%K -21.08%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-06-16 10:40
BetMGM	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%	2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -7.52%E -2.96%K -4.88%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-06-16 10:40
Fanatics	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-06-16 10:30
TAB	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-06-16 10:30
PointsBet (AU)	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-06-16 10:30
Betsson	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-06-16 10:30
NordicBet	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-06-16 10:30
BoyleSports	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-06-16 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-16 10:30
Coral	1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-16 10:30
Neds	1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-16 10:30
theScore Bet	1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-16 10:30
Betclic (FR)	1.46I 68.49%NM 63.13%EV -7.16%E -4.90%K -15.56%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-06-16 10:39
PMU (FR)	1.40I 71.43%NM 63.92%EV -10.97%E -7.84%K -27.43%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 36.08%EV -9.70%E -3.91%K -6.56%G +0.000%	11.8%	2026-06-16 10:40
Caesars	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -0.799%E -0.512%K -1.43%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -14.44%E -6.14%K -10.69%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-06-16 10:39

Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контора	Хозяева	Гости	Маржа ▲	Обновлено
Matchbook	1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84%	2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16%	0.1%	2026-06-16 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%	2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%	0.5%	2026-06-16 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%	2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%	0.8%	2026-06-16 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%	2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%	0.8%	2026-06-16 10:40
Smarkets	1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%	2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%	0.8%	2026-06-16 10:40
Novig	1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%	2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%	2.5%	2026-06-16 10:40