La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Jakub Mensik v Adrian Mannarino
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jakub Mensik (Local)
Predicción 63.59%1.57momio equitativo
EV -0.799%
Ventaja -0.512%
Kelly -1.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.10%63.64%63.41%65.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.471.481.5671.43%67.84%67.57%64.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Adrian Mannarino (Visitante)
Predicción 36.41%2.75momio equitativo
EV +2.31%
Ventaja +0.822%
Kelly +1.28%
Crecimiento +0.030%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.81
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.12%36.36%36.59%39.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.612.602.8142.55%38.36%38.46%35.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.35%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.65%EV +2.31%E +0.822%K +1.28%G +0.030% | 2.7% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| BetUS | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -7.79%E -5.38%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +1.95%E +0.695%K +1.08%G +0.021% | 4.7% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.43%E -5.85%K -19.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +0.127%E +0.046%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -0.966%E -0.355%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -0.966%E -0.355%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -9.70%E -6.83%K -23.10%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -0.966%E -0.355%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.69%E -0.627%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-16 10:29 |
| Bovada | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.69%E -0.627%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-16 10:29 |
| BetAnything | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.69%E -0.627%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -2.79%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 10:29 |
| GTbets | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.60%EV -10.97%E -7.84%K -27.43%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.40%EV -2.79%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-16 10:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| ReBet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 10:29 |
| Bet Right | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Casumo | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Unibet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| betPARX | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -9.07%E -6.34%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-16 10:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.70%E -6.83%K -23.10%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Bally Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.43%E -5.85%K -19.16%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -10.97%E -7.84%K -27.43%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 10:28 |
| betfred_uk | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -10.97%E -7.84%K -27.43%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 10:38 |
| TABtouch | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -7.16%E -4.90%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -7.16%E -4.90%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.79%E -5.38%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 10:29 |
| Everygame | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.43%E -5.85%K -19.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -9.07%E -6.34%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -9.07%E -6.34%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Fliff | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -9.07%E -6.34%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -7.52%E -2.96%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| TAB | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Betsson | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Neds | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.13%EV -7.16%E -4.90%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-16 10:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.92%EV -10.97%E -7.84%K -27.43%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.08%EV -9.70%E -3.91%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Caesars | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -0.799%E -0.512%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -14.44%E -6.14%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-16 10:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16% | 0.1% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Novig | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10% | 2.5% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |