La scuola delle quote

Jakub Mensik v Adrian Mannarino

Inizio: 2026-06-16 11:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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63 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Jakub Mensik (Casa)

Previsione 63.59%1.57quota equa
EV -0.799%
Vantaggio -0.512%
Kelly -1.43%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.56

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.10%63.64%63.41%65.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.401.471.481.5671.43%67.84%67.57%64.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Adrian Mannarino (Trasferta)

Previsione 36.41%2.75quota equa
EV +2.31%
Vantaggio +0.822%
Kelly +1.28%
Crescita +0.030%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.81

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.12%36.36%36.59%39.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.352.612.602.8142.55%38.36%38.46%35.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 65.35%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.65%EV +2.31%E +0.822%K +1.28%G +0.030%2.7%2026-06-16 10:30
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -7.79%E -5.38%K -17.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +1.95%E +0.695%K +1.08%G +0.021%4.7%2026-06-16 10:30
DraftKings1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.43%E -5.85%K -19.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +0.127%E +0.046%K +0.072%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 10:40
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -0.966%E -0.355%K -0.561%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-16 10:30
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -0.966%E -0.355%K -0.561%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-16 10:30
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -9.70%E -6.83%K -23.10%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -0.966%E -0.355%K -0.561%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-16 10:40
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.69%E -0.627%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-16 10:29
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.69%E -0.627%K -0.996%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 10:29
BetAnything1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.69%E -0.627%K -0.996%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 10:30
Marathon Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -2.79%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 10:29
GTbets1.40I 71.43%NM 65.60%EV -10.97%E -7.84%K -27.43%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.40%EV -2.79%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-16 10:29
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-16 10:40
ReBet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 10:29
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 10:30
Unibet (NL)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 10:40
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 10:40
Casumo1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 10:40
Unibet (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 10:40
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 10:40
Svenska Spel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 10:40
ATG (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 10:40
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 10:40
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 10:40
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -9.07%E -6.34%K -21.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 10:29
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.70%E -6.83%K -23.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -3.51%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 10:30
Bally Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 10:30
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.43%E -5.85%K -19.16%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 10:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -10.97%E -7.84%K -27.43%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-16 10:40
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 10:28
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 10:30
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -10.97%E -7.84%K -27.43%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-16 10:40
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 10:30
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 10:30
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 10:30
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 10:40
Dabble (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 10:30
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 10:38
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 10:40
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 10:40
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -7.16%E -4.90%K -15.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 10:40
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -7.16%E -4.90%K -15.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 10:40
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.79%E -5.38%K -17.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 10:29
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.43%E -5.85%K -19.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-16 10:30
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 10:30
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 10:30
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -9.07%E -6.34%K -21.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-16 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -9.07%E -6.34%K -21.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-16 10:40
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -9.07%E -6.34%K -21.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-16 10:40
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -7.52%E -2.96%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 10:40
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 10:30
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 10:30
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 10:30
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 10:30
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 10:30
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-16 10:30
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-16 10:30
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-16 10:30
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-16 10:30
Betclic (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 63.13%EV -7.16%E -4.90%K -15.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-16 10:39
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.92%EV -10.97%E -7.84%K -27.43%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.08%EV -9.70%E -3.91%K -6.56%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-16 10:40
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -0.799%E -0.512%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -14.44%E -6.14%K -10.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 10:39
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16%0.1%2026-06-16 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-06-16 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-06-16 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-06-16 10:40
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-06-16 10:40
Novig1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%2.5%2026-06-16 10:40