StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Alex de Minaur v Denis Shapovalov

Matchstart: 2026-06-17 12:30 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

62 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Alex de Minaur (Hemma)

Prognos 76.05%1.31rättvist odds
EV -1.13%
Fördel -0.868%
Kelly -3.76%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
72.92%75.86%76.18%77.62%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.191.241.251.3084.03%80.34%80.00%76.92%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Denis Shapovalov (Borta)

Prognos 23.95%4.18rättvist odds
EV +2.96%
Fördel +0.689%
Kelly +0.898%
Tillväxt +0.027%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
22.38%24.14%23.82%27.08%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.503.903.974.3028.57%25.66%25.19%23.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Alex de Minaur (Hemma): 76.05%; Denis Shapovalov (Borta): 23.95%. För Denis Shapovalov (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.18. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.30, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +2.96%.

Spelbolagsodds (62 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Winamax (DE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +2.96%E +0.689%K +0.898%G +0.027%3.9%2026-06-17 12:10
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.70%EV -3.41%E -2.69%K -12.63%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.30%EV +0.091%E +0.022%K +0.029%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-17 10:50
BetAnything🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.82%E -0.445%K -0.589%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-17 11:40
theScore Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.45%E -5.25%K -28.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -1.82%E -0.445%K -0.589%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 12:10
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.69%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.72%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.31%EV -2.30%E -0.565%K -0.748%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 12:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -3.50%E -0.869%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 08:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -3.50%E -0.869%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 08:20
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 08:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 08:20
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 08:20
Coolbet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 08:20
Casumo🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:41
Unibet (NL)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:40
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:40
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:40
Bally Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:40
betPARX🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:41
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:40
BetUS🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 08:20
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 12:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 12:10
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 12:10
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 21:40
Betsson🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 12:10
NordicBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 12:10
GTbets🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.15%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.85%EV -4.46%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 21:39
ReBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 10:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 12:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-17 11:50
TABtouch🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 12:10
Grosvenor🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 12:10
FanDuel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -6.45%E -5.25%K -28.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 11:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-17 08:19
1xBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.34%EV -3.41%E -2.69%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.66%EV -7.09%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-17 08:20
Fliff🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -7.97%E -6.59%K -37.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -7.81%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-17 12:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -8.05%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 08:20
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 02:28
TAB🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 08:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-16 21:40
LeoVegas🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 12:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 12:10
Bet Right🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.65%E -2.07%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 12:10
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 21:40
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-16 21:39
Everygame🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-17 08:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-17 09:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -7.97%E -6.59%K -37.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-17 12:09
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.41%E -2.69%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -11.40%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 05:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.40%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 05:40
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.40%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 05:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 75.66%EV -9.49%E -7.98%K -49.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.34%EV -11.40%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-17 12:10
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.65%E -2.07%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 05:40
Neds🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 05:40
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-17 12:10
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 21:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -1.13%E -0.868%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -16.19%E -4.63%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 12:10
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-06-17 12:10
Matchbook1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-06-17 12:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-06-17 12:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-06-17 12:10
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%3.3%2026-06-17 12:10
Novig1.25I 80.00%NM 76.55%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.45%4.5%2026-06-17 12:10