L’École des cotes

Alex de Minaur v Denis Shapovalov

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-17 12:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alex de Minaur (Local)

Prévision 76.05%1.31cote équitable
EV -1.13%
Avantage -0.868%
Kelly -3.76%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.92%75.86%76.18%77.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.191.241.251.3084.03%80.34%80.00%76.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Denis Shapovalov (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.95%4.18cote équitable
EV +2.96%
Avantage +0.689%
Kelly +0.898%
Croissance +0.027%

avec la cote maximale 4.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.38%24.14%23.82%27.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.903.974.3028.57%25.66%25.19%23.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Winamax (DE)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +2.96%E +0.689%K +0.898%G +0.027%3.9%2026-06-17 12:10
Pinnacle1.27I 78.74%NM 76.70%EV -3.41%E -2.69%K -12.63%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.30%EV +0.091%E +0.022%K +0.029%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-17 10:50
BetAnything1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.82%E -0.445%K -0.589%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-17 11:40
theScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.45%E -5.25%K -28.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -1.82%E -0.445%K -0.589%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 12:10
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 76.69%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.72%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.31%EV -2.30%E -0.565%K -0.748%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 12:10
LowVig.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -3.50%E -0.869%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 08:20
BetOnline.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -3.50%E -0.869%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 08:20
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 08:20
Unibet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 08:20
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 08:20
Coolbet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 08:20
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:41
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:40
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:40
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:40
LiveScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:40
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:40
Virgin Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:40
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:40
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:40
Bally Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:40
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:41
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:40
BetUS1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 08:20
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 12:10
PointsBet (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 12:10
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 12:10
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 21:40
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 12:10
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 12:10
GTbets1.25I 80.00%NM 76.15%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.85%EV -4.46%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 21:39
ReBet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 10:40
Winamax (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 12:10
Betr (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-17 11:50
TABtouch1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 12:10
Grosvenor1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 12:10
FanDuel1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -6.45%E -5.25%K -28.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 11:50
NetBet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-17 08:19
1xBet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.34%EV -3.41%E -2.69%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.66%EV -7.09%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-17 08:20
Fliff1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -7.97%E -6.59%K -37.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -7.81%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-17 12:10
Marathon Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -8.05%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 08:20
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 02:28
TAB1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 08:20
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-16 21:40
LeoVegas1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 12:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 12:10
Bet Right1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.65%E -2.07%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 12:10
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 21:40
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-16 21:39
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-17 08:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-17 09:20
Betclic (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -7.97%E -6.59%K -37.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-17 12:09
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.41%E -2.69%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -11.40%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 05:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.40%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 05:40
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.40%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 05:40
PMU (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 75.66%EV -9.49%E -7.98%K -49.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.34%EV -11.40%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-17 12:10
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.65%E -2.07%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 05:40
Neds1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 05:40
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-17 12:10
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 21:40
Dabble (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -1.13%E -0.868%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -16.19%E -4.63%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 12:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-06-17 12:10
Matchbook1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-06-17 12:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-06-17 12:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-06-17 12:10
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%3.3%2026-06-17 12:10
Novig1.25I 80.00%NM 76.55%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.45%4.5%2026-06-17 12:10