La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Alex de Minaur v Denis Shapovalov
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alex de Minaur (Local)
Predicción 76.05%1.31momio equitativo
EV -1.13%
Ventaja -0.868%
Kelly -3.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.92%75.86%76.18%77.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.191.241.251.3084.03%80.34%80.00%76.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Denis Shapovalov (Visitante)
Predicción 23.95%4.18momio equitativo
EV +2.96%
Ventaja +0.689%
Kelly +0.898%
Crecimiento +0.027%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.38%24.14%23.82%27.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.903.974.3028.57%25.66%25.19%23.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +2.96%E +0.689%K +0.898%G +0.027% | 3.9% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.70%EV -3.41%E -2.69%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 23.30%EV +0.091%E +0.022%K +0.029%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-06-17 10:50 |
| BetAnything | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.82%E -0.445%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-17 11:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.45%E -5.25%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -1.82%E -0.445%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.69%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.31%EV -2.30%E -0.565%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -3.50%E -0.869%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-17 08:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -3.50%E -0.869%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-17 08:20 |
| William Hill | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 08:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 08:20 |
| Bovada | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 08:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 08:20 |
| Casumo | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 10:41 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 10:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 10:40 |
| Unibet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 10:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 10:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 10:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 10:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 10:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 10:40 |
| Bally Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 10:40 |
| betPARX | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 10:41 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 10:40 |
| BetUS | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 08:20 |
| Betway | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |
| Sky Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 21:40 |
| Betsson | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |
| GTbets | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.15%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.85%EV -4.46%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 21:39 |
| ReBet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-17 10:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -6.45%E -5.25%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-17 08:19 |
| 1xBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.34%EV -3.41%E -2.69%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.66%EV -7.09%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-17 08:20 |
| Fliff | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -7.97%E -6.59%K -37.97%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -7.81%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -8.05%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-17 08:20 |
| Caesars | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-17 02:28 |
| TAB | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-17 08:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-16 21:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.65%E -2.07%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |
| betfred_uk | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-16 21:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-16 21:39 |
| Everygame | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-17 08:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-17 09:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -7.97%E -6.59%K -37.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-17 12:09 |
| BetMGM | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.41%E -2.69%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -11.40%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-17 05:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.40%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-17 05:40 |
| Coral | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.40%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-17 05:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.66%EV -9.49%E -7.98%K -49.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.34%EV -11.40%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.65%E -2.07%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-17 05:40 |
| Neds | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-17 05:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-16 21:40 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -1.13%E -0.868%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -16.19%E -4.63%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 3.3% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |
| Novig | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.55% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.45% | 4.5% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |