Szkoła Kursów

Alex de Minaur v Denis Shapovalov

Początek: 2026-06-17 12:30 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

62 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Alex de Minaur (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 76.05%1.31kurs godziwy
EV -1.13%
Przewaga -0.868%
Kelly -3.76%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.30

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
72.92%75.86%76.18%77.62%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.191.241.251.3084.03%80.34%80.00%76.92%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Denis Shapovalov (Goście)

Prognoza 23.95%4.18kurs godziwy
EV +2.96%
Przewaga +0.689%
Kelly +0.898%
Wzrost +0.027%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.30

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
22.38%24.14%23.82%27.08%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.503.903.974.3028.57%25.66%25.19%23.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (62 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Winamax (DE)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +2.96%E +0.689%K +0.898%G +0.027%3.9%2026-06-17 12:10
Pinnacle1.27I 78.74%NM 76.70%EV -3.41%E -2.69%K -12.63%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.30%EV +0.091%E +0.022%K +0.029%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-17 10:50
BetAnything1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.82%E -0.445%K -0.589%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-17 11:40
theScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.45%E -5.25%K -28.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -1.82%E -0.445%K -0.589%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 12:10
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 76.69%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.72%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.31%EV -2.30%E -0.565%K -0.748%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 12:10
LowVig.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -3.50%E -0.869%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 08:20
BetOnline.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -3.50%E -0.869%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 08:20
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 08:20
Unibet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 08:20
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 08:20
Coolbet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 08:20
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:41
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:40
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:40
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:40
LiveScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:40
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:40
Virgin Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:40
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:40
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:40
Bally Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:40
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:41
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:40
BetUS1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 08:20
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 12:10
PointsBet (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 12:10
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 12:10
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 21:40
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 12:10
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 12:10
GTbets1.25I 80.00%NM 76.15%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.85%EV -4.46%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 21:39
ReBet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 10:40
Winamax (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 12:10
Betr (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-17 11:50
TABtouch1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 12:10
Grosvenor1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 12:10
FanDuel1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -6.45%E -5.25%K -28.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 11:50
NetBet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-17 08:19
1xBet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.34%EV -3.41%E -2.69%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.66%EV -7.09%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-17 08:20
Fliff1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -7.97%E -6.59%K -37.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -7.81%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-17 12:10
Marathon Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -8.05%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 08:20
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 02:28
TAB1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 08:20
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-16 21:40
LeoVegas1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 12:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 12:10
Bet Right1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.65%E -2.07%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 12:10
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 21:40
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-16 21:39
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-17 08:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-17 09:20
Betclic (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -7.97%E -6.59%K -37.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-17 12:09
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.41%E -2.69%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -11.40%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 05:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.40%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 05:40
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.40%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 05:40
PMU (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 75.66%EV -9.49%E -7.98%K -49.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.34%EV -11.40%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-17 12:10
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.65%E -2.07%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 05:40
Neds1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 05:40
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-17 12:10
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 21:40
Dabble (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -1.13%E -0.868%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -16.19%E -4.63%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 12:10
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-06-17 12:10
Matchbook1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-06-17 12:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-06-17 12:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-06-17 12:10
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%3.3%2026-06-17 12:10
Novig1.25I 80.00%NM 76.55%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.45%4.5%2026-06-17 12:10