Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alex de Minaur v Denis Shapovalov

Início: 2026-06-17 12:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alex de Minaur (Local)

Previsão 76.05%1.31odd justa
EV -1.13%
Vantagem -0.868%
Kelly -3.76%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
72.92%75.86%76.18%77.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.191.241.251.3084.03%80.34%80.00%76.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Denis Shapovalov (Visitante)

Previsão 23.95%4.18odd justa
EV +2.96%
Vantagem +0.689%
Kelly +0.898%
Crescimento +0.027%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.38%24.14%23.82%27.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.503.903.974.3028.57%25.66%25.19%23.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Alex de Minaur (Local): 76.05%; Denis Shapovalov (Visitante): 23.95%. Para Denis Shapovalov (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.18. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.30, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.96%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Winamax (DE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +2.96%E +0.689%K +0.898%G +0.027%3.9%2026-06-17 12:10
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.70%EV -3.41%E -2.69%K -12.63%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.30%EV +0.091%E +0.022%K +0.029%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-17 10:50
BetAnything🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.82%E -0.445%K -0.589%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-17 11:40
theScore Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.45%E -5.25%K -28.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -1.82%E -0.445%K -0.589%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 12:10
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.69%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.72%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.31%EV -2.30%E -0.565%K -0.748%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 12:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -3.50%E -0.869%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 08:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -3.50%E -0.869%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 08:20
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 08:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 08:20
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 08:20
Coolbet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 08:20
Casumo🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:41
Unibet (NL)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:40
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:40
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:40
Bally Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:40
betPARX🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:41
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:40
BetUS🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 08:20
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 12:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 12:10
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 12:10
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 21:40
Betsson🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 12:10
NordicBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 12:10
GTbets🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.15%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.85%EV -4.46%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 21:39
ReBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 10:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 12:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-17 11:50
TABtouch🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 12:10
Grosvenor🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 12:10
FanDuel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -6.45%E -5.25%K -28.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 11:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-17 08:19
1xBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.34%EV -3.41%E -2.69%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.66%EV -7.09%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-17 08:20
Fliff🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -7.97%E -6.59%K -37.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -7.81%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-17 12:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -8.05%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 08:20
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 02:28
TAB🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 08:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-16 21:40
LeoVegas🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 12:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 12:10
Bet Right🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.65%E -2.07%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 12:10
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 21:40
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-16 21:39
Everygame🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-17 08:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-17 09:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -7.97%E -6.59%K -37.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-17 12:09
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.41%E -2.69%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -11.40%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 05:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.40%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 05:40
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.40%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 05:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 75.66%EV -9.49%E -7.98%K -49.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.34%EV -11.40%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-17 12:10
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.65%E -2.07%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 05:40
Neds🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 05:40
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-17 12:10
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 21:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -1.13%E -0.868%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -16.19%E -4.63%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 12:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-06-17 12:10
Matchbook1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-06-17 12:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-06-17 12:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-06-17 12:10
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%3.3%2026-06-17 12:10
Novig1.25I 80.00%NM 76.55%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.45%4.5%2026-06-17 12:10