Язык:Русский
Alex de Minaur v Denis Shapovalov
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Alex de Minaur (Хозяева)
Прогноз 76.05%1.31справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.13%
Преимущество -0.868%
Kelly -3.76%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.30
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
72.92%75.86%76.18%77.62%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.191.241.251.3084.03%80.34%80.00%76.92%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Denis Shapovalov (Гости)
Прогноз 23.95%4.18справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.96%
Преимущество +0.689%
Kelly +0.898%
Рост +0.027%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.30
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
22.38%24.14%23.82%27.08%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.503.903.974.3028.57%25.66%25.19%23.26%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Alex de Minaur (Хозяева): 76.05%; Denis Shapovalov (Гости): 23.95%. Для исхода «Denis Shapovalov (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.18. 2 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.30, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +2.96%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (62 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +2.96%E +0.689%K +0.898%G +0.027% | 3.9% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.70%EV -3.41%E -2.69%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 23.30%EV +0.091%E +0.022%K +0.029%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-06-17 10:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.82%E -0.445%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-17 11:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.45%E -5.25%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -1.82%E -0.445%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.69%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.31%EV -2.30%E -0.565%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -3.50%E -0.869%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-17 08:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -3.50%E -0.869%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-17 08:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 08:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 08:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 08:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 08:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 10:41 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 10:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 10:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 10:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 10:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 10:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 10:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 10:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 10:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 10:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 10:41 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 10:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 08:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 21:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.15%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.85%EV -4.46%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 21:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-17 10:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -6.45%E -5.25%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-17 11:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-17 08:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.34%EV -3.41%E -2.69%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.66%EV -7.09%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-17 08:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -7.97%E -6.59%K -37.97%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -7.81%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -8.05%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-17 08:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-17 02:28 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-17 08:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-16 21:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.65%E -2.07%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-16 21:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-16 21:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-17 08:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-17 09:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -7.97%E -6.59%K -37.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-17 12:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.41%E -2.69%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -11.40%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-17 05:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.40%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-17 05:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.40%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-17 05:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.66%EV -9.49%E -7.98%K -49.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.34%EV -11.40%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.65%E -2.07%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-17 05:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-17 05:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.93%E -3.95%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-16 21:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -1.13%E -0.868%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -16.19%E -4.63%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 3.3% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.55% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.45% | 4.5% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |