The School of Odds

Carlos Alcaraz v Arthur Fils

Matchstart: 2026-02-21 19:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

57 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Carlos Alcaraz (Hemma)

Prognos 90.65%1.10rättvist odds
EV +4.25%
Fördel +3.69%
Kelly +28.31%
Tillväxt +1.20%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.15

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
83.08%89.84%90.54%95.15%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.011.061.041.1599.01%94.17%96.15%86.96%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Arthur Fils (Borta)

Prognos 9.35%10.69rättvist odds
EV +88.89%
Fördel +4.40%
Kelly +4.63%
Tillväxt +4.12%

med antagandet om högsta odds 20.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
4.85%10.16%9.46%16.92%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
5.509.5910.0020.2018.18%10.43%10.00%4.95%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (57 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
DraftKings1.03I 97.09%NM 95.15%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000%20.20I 4.95%NM 4.85%EV +88.89%E +4.40%K +4.63%G +4.12%2.0%2026-02-21 18:20
Betway1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -7.54%E -7.39%K -376.90%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +30.91%E +2.21%K +2.38%G +0.735%5.2%2026-02-21 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +21.56%E +1.66%K +1.80%G +0.387%3.8%2026-02-21 18:20
Winamax (DE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +16.89%E +1.35%K +1.47%G +0.248%5.1%2026-02-21 18:20
Winamax (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +12.21%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136%3.6%2026-02-21 18:20
Coral1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +12.21%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136%4.5%2026-02-21 18:20
Hard Rock Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +12.21%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136%4.5%2026-02-21 18:20
Coolbet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054%4.8%2026-02-21 18:20
Unibet (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054%4.8%2026-02-21 18:20
Casumo1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054%4.8%2026-02-21 18:20
Unibet (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054%4.8%2026-02-21 18:20
Unibet (NL)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054%4.8%2026-02-21 18:20
Unibet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054%4.8%2026-02-21 18:20
betPARX1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054%4.8%2026-02-21 18:20
Svenska Spel1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054%4.8%2026-02-21 18:20
ATG (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054%4.8%2026-02-21 18:20
PointsBet (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.37%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +2.86%E +0.260%K +0.286%G +0.008%4.3%2026-02-21 18:20
888sport1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +2.86%E +0.260%K +0.286%G +0.008%6.2%2026-02-21 18:20
888sport (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +2.86%E +0.260%K +0.286%G +0.008%6.2%2026-02-21 18:20
Mr Green (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +2.86%E +0.260%K +0.286%G +0.008%6.2%2026-02-21 18:20
TABtouch1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -1.81%E -0.173%K -0.191%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 18:20
Grosvenor1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -1.81%E -0.173%K -0.191%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 18:20
LeoVegas1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -1.81%E -0.173%K -0.191%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 18:20
Virgin Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -1.81%E -0.173%K -0.191%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 18:20
LiveScore Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -1.81%E -0.173%K -0.191%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 18:20
BetRivers1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -1.81%E -0.173%K -0.191%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 18:20
BetMGM1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -1.81%E -0.173%K -0.191%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 18:20
Fliff1.01I 99.01%NM 91.15%EV -8.44%E -8.36%K -844.46%G +0.000%10.40I 9.62%NM 8.85%EV -2.75%E -0.264%K -0.292%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 18:20
BoyleSports1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.20%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -6.49%E -0.649%K -0.721%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 18:19
Bovada1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.20%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -6.49%E -0.649%K -0.721%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 18:20
theScore Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.37%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -6.49%E -0.649%K -0.721%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 18:20
Betclic (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.49%E -0.649%K -0.721%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 18:19
TAB1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -6.49%E -0.649%K -0.721%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 18:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -7.54%E -7.39%K -376.90%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -6.49%E -0.649%K -0.721%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 18:20
Betsson1.03I 97.09%NM 90.45%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV -8.83%E -0.905%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 18:20
NordicBet1.03I 97.09%NM 90.45%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV -8.83%E -0.905%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 18:20
FanDuel1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.20%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -11.17%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 18:20
Paddy Power1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -11.17%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 18:19
Fanatics1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -15.84%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 18:20
Tipico (DE)1.03I 97.09%NM 89.19%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV -20.52%E -2.41%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 18:20
Pinnacle1.14I 87.72%NM 86.01%EV +3.34%E +2.93%K +23.86%G +0.797%7.01I 14.27%NM 13.99%EV -34.45%E -4.91%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.0%2026-02-21 18:10
Parions Sport (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV +0.620%E +0.559%K +5.64%G +0.035%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -40.15%E -6.27%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 17:59
GTbets1.12I 89.29%NM 85.09%EV +1.53%E +1.36%K +12.72%G +0.194%6.39I 15.65%NM 14.91%EV -40.25%E -6.30%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 17:59
Marathon Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV +1.53%E +1.36%K +12.72%G +0.194%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV -41.09%E -6.52%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 18:14
Bally Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV +2.43%E +2.15%K +18.72%G +0.455%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -41.56%E -6.65%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 18:10
BetUS1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV +1.53%E +1.36%K +12.72%G +0.194%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -41.56%E -6.65%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 18:09
PlayUp1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV +0.620%E +0.559%K +5.64%G +0.035%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -41.56%E -6.65%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 18:10
Bet Right1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV +2.43%E +2.15%K +18.72%G +0.455%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -43.89%E -7.32%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 18:10
Unibet (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV +1.53%E +1.36%K +12.72%G +0.194%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -43.89%E -7.32%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 18:10
Betr (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV +0.620%E +0.559%K +5.64%G +0.035%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -43.89%E -7.32%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 18:14
Everygame1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -0.286%E -0.260%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -43.89%E -7.32%K -8.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 17:59
SportsBet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV +1.53%E +1.36%K +12.72%G +0.194%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -44.83%E -7.60%K -9.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 18:10
Neds1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV +0.620%E +0.559%K +5.64%G +0.035%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -45.76%E -7.89%K -9.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV +0.620%E +0.559%K +5.64%G +0.035%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -45.76%E -7.89%K -9.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 18:09
LowVig.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV +4.25%E +3.69%K +28.31%G +1.20%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -46.14%E -8.01%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 18:13
BetOnline.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV +4.25%E +3.69%K +28.31%G +1.20%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -46.14%E -8.01%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 18:14
Bet Victor1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV +1.53%E +1.36%K +12.72%G +0.194%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -48.57%E -8.83%K -10.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 17:58
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (2)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook1.06I 94.34%NM 93.19%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81%1.2%2026-02-21 18:20
Smarkets1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%3.8%2026-02-21 18:20