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Carlos Alcaraz v Arthur Fils
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Carlos Alcaraz (Хозяева)
Прогноз 90.65%1.10справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.25%
Преимущество +3.69%
Kelly +28.31%
Рост +1.20%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.15
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
83.08%89.84%90.54%95.15%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.011.061.041.1599.01%94.17%96.15%86.96%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Arthur Fils (Гости)
Прогноз 9.35%10.69справедливый коэффициент
EV +88.89%
Преимущество +4.40%
Kelly +4.63%
Рост +4.12%
при максимальном коэффициенте 20.20
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
4.85%10.16%9.46%16.92%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
5.509.5910.0020.2018.18%10.43%10.00%4.95%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Carlos Alcaraz (Хозяева): 90.65%; Arthur Fils (Гости): 9.35%. Для исхода «Arthur Fils (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 10.69. 20 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 20.20, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +88.89%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (57 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.15%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000% | 20.20I 4.95%NM 4.85%EV +88.89%E +4.40%K +4.63%G +4.12% | 2.0% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -7.54%E -7.39%K -376.90%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +30.91%E +2.21%K +2.38%G +0.735% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 18:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +21.56%E +1.66%K +1.80%G +0.387% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +16.89%E +1.35%K +1.47%G +0.248% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.37%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +12.21%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136% | 3.6% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +12.21%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +12.21%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.37%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +2.86%E +0.260%K +0.286%G +0.008% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +2.86%E +0.260%K +0.286%G +0.008% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +2.86%E +0.260%K +0.286%G +0.008% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +2.86%E +0.260%K +0.286%G +0.008% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -1.81%E -0.173%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -1.81%E -0.173%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -1.81%E -0.173%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -1.81%E -0.173%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -1.81%E -0.173%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -1.81%E -0.173%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -1.81%E -0.173%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.15%EV -8.44%E -8.36%K -844.46%G +0.000% | 10.40I 9.62%NM 8.85%EV -2.75%E -0.264%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.20%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -6.49%E -0.649%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 18:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.20%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -6.49%E -0.649%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.37%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -6.49%E -0.649%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.49%E -0.649%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 18:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -6.49%E -0.649%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 18:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -7.54%E -7.39%K -376.90%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -6.49%E -0.649%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.45%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV -8.83%E -0.905%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.45%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV -8.83%E -0.905%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.20%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -11.17%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -11.17%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 18:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -15.84%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.19%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV -20.52%E -2.41%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.01%EV +3.34%E +2.93%K +23.86%G +0.797% | 7.01I 14.27%NM 13.99%EV -34.45%E -4.91%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV +0.620%E +0.559%K +5.64%G +0.035% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -40.15%E -6.27%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 17:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.09%EV +1.53%E +1.36%K +12.72%G +0.194% | 6.39I 15.65%NM 14.91%EV -40.25%E -6.30%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 17:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV +1.53%E +1.36%K +12.72%G +0.194% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV -41.09%E -6.52%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 18:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV +2.43%E +2.15%K +18.72%G +0.455% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -41.56%E -6.65%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV +1.53%E +1.36%K +12.72%G +0.194% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -41.56%E -6.65%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 18:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV +0.620%E +0.559%K +5.64%G +0.035% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -41.56%E -6.65%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV +2.43%E +2.15%K +18.72%G +0.455% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -43.89%E -7.32%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV +1.53%E +1.36%K +12.72%G +0.194% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -43.89%E -7.32%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV +0.620%E +0.559%K +5.64%G +0.035% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -43.89%E -7.32%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 18:14 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -0.286%E -0.260%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -43.89%E -7.32%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 17:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV +1.53%E +1.36%K +12.72%G +0.194% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -44.83%E -7.60%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV +0.620%E +0.559%K +5.64%G +0.035% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -45.76%E -7.89%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV +0.620%E +0.559%K +5.64%G +0.035% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -45.76%E -7.89%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 18:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV +4.25%E +3.69%K +28.31%G +1.20% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -46.14%E -8.01%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 18:13 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV +4.25%E +3.69%K +28.31%G +1.20% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -46.14%E -8.01%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 18:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV +1.53%E +1.36%K +12.72%G +0.194% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -48.57%E -8.83%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 17:58 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (2)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.19% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81% | 1.2% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |