Школа коэффициентов

Carlos Alcaraz v Arthur Fils

Начало: 2026-02-21 19:00 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

57 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Carlos Alcaraz (Хозяева)

Прогноз 90.65%1.10справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.25%
Преимущество +3.69%
Kelly +28.31%
Рост +1.20%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.15

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
83.08%89.84%90.54%95.15%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.011.061.041.1599.01%94.17%96.15%86.96%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Arthur Fils (Гости)

Прогноз 9.35%10.69справедливый коэффициент
EV +88.89%
Преимущество +4.40%
Kelly +4.63%
Рост +4.12%

при максимальном коэффициенте 20.20

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
4.85%10.16%9.46%16.92%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
5.509.5910.0020.2018.18%10.43%10.00%4.95%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (57 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼МаржаОбновлено
DraftKings1.03I 97.09%NM 95.15%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000%20.20I 4.95%NM 4.85%EV +88.89%E +4.40%K +4.63%G +4.12%2.0%2026-02-21 18:20
Betway1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -7.54%E -7.39%K -376.90%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +30.91%E +2.21%K +2.38%G +0.735%5.2%2026-02-21 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +21.56%E +1.66%K +1.80%G +0.387%3.8%2026-02-21 18:20
Winamax (DE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +16.89%E +1.35%K +1.47%G +0.248%5.1%2026-02-21 18:20
Winamax (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +12.21%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136%3.6%2026-02-21 18:20
Coral1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +12.21%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136%4.5%2026-02-21 18:20
Hard Rock Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +12.21%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136%4.5%2026-02-21 18:20
Coolbet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054%4.8%2026-02-21 18:20
Unibet (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054%4.8%2026-02-21 18:20
Casumo1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054%4.8%2026-02-21 18:20
Unibet (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054%4.8%2026-02-21 18:20
Unibet (NL)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054%4.8%2026-02-21 18:20
Unibet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054%4.8%2026-02-21 18:20
betPARX1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054%4.8%2026-02-21 18:20
Svenska Spel1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054%4.8%2026-02-21 18:20
ATG (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054%4.8%2026-02-21 18:20
PointsBet (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.37%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +2.86%E +0.260%K +0.286%G +0.008%4.3%2026-02-21 18:20
888sport1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +2.86%E +0.260%K +0.286%G +0.008%6.2%2026-02-21 18:20
888sport (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +2.86%E +0.260%K +0.286%G +0.008%6.2%2026-02-21 18:20
Mr Green (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +2.86%E +0.260%K +0.286%G +0.008%6.2%2026-02-21 18:20
TABtouch1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -1.81%E -0.173%K -0.191%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 18:20
Grosvenor1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -1.81%E -0.173%K -0.191%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 18:20
LeoVegas1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -1.81%E -0.173%K -0.191%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 18:20
Virgin Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -1.81%E -0.173%K -0.191%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 18:20
LiveScore Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -1.81%E -0.173%K -0.191%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 18:20
BetRivers1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -1.81%E -0.173%K -0.191%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 18:20
BetMGM1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -1.81%E -0.173%K -0.191%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 18:20
Fliff1.01I 99.01%NM 91.15%EV -8.44%E -8.36%K -844.46%G +0.000%10.40I 9.62%NM 8.85%EV -2.75%E -0.264%K -0.292%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 18:20
BoyleSports1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.20%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -6.49%E -0.649%K -0.721%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 18:19
Bovada1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.20%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -6.49%E -0.649%K -0.721%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 18:20
theScore Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.37%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -6.49%E -0.649%K -0.721%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 18:20
Betclic (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.49%E -0.649%K -0.721%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 18:19
TAB1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -6.49%E -0.649%K -0.721%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 18:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -7.54%E -7.39%K -376.90%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -6.49%E -0.649%K -0.721%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 18:20
Betsson1.03I 97.09%NM 90.45%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV -8.83%E -0.905%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 18:20
NordicBet1.03I 97.09%NM 90.45%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV -8.83%E -0.905%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 18:20
FanDuel1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.20%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -11.17%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 18:20
Paddy Power1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -11.17%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 18:19
Fanatics1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -15.84%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 18:20
Tipico (DE)1.03I 97.09%NM 89.19%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV -20.52%E -2.41%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 18:20
Pinnacle1.14I 87.72%NM 86.01%EV +3.34%E +2.93%K +23.86%G +0.797%7.01I 14.27%NM 13.99%EV -34.45%E -4.91%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.0%2026-02-21 18:10
Parions Sport (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV +0.620%E +0.559%K +5.64%G +0.035%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -40.15%E -6.27%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 17:59
GTbets1.12I 89.29%NM 85.09%EV +1.53%E +1.36%K +12.72%G +0.194%6.39I 15.65%NM 14.91%EV -40.25%E -6.30%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 17:59
Marathon Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV +1.53%E +1.36%K +12.72%G +0.194%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV -41.09%E -6.52%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 18:14
Bally Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV +2.43%E +2.15%K +18.72%G +0.455%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -41.56%E -6.65%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 18:10
BetUS1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV +1.53%E +1.36%K +12.72%G +0.194%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -41.56%E -6.65%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 18:09
PlayUp1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV +0.620%E +0.559%K +5.64%G +0.035%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -41.56%E -6.65%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 18:10
Bet Right1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV +2.43%E +2.15%K +18.72%G +0.455%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -43.89%E -7.32%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 18:10
Unibet (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV +1.53%E +1.36%K +12.72%G +0.194%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -43.89%E -7.32%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 18:10
Betr (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV +0.620%E +0.559%K +5.64%G +0.035%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -43.89%E -7.32%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 18:14
Everygame1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -0.286%E -0.260%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -43.89%E -7.32%K -8.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 17:59
SportsBet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV +1.53%E +1.36%K +12.72%G +0.194%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -44.83%E -7.60%K -9.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 18:10
Neds1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV +0.620%E +0.559%K +5.64%G +0.035%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -45.76%E -7.89%K -9.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV +0.620%E +0.559%K +5.64%G +0.035%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -45.76%E -7.89%K -9.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 18:09
LowVig.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV +4.25%E +3.69%K +28.31%G +1.20%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -46.14%E -8.01%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 18:13
BetOnline.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV +4.25%E +3.69%K +28.31%G +1.20%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -46.14%E -8.01%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 18:14
Bet Victor1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV +1.53%E +1.36%K +12.72%G +0.194%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -48.57%E -8.83%K -10.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 17:58
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (2)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook1.06I 94.34%NM 93.19%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81%1.2%2026-02-21 18:20
Smarkets1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%3.8%2026-02-21 18:20