Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Carlos Alcaraz v Arthur Fils
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Carlos Alcaraz (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 90.65%1.10kurs godziwy
EV +4.25%
Przewaga +3.69%
Kelly +28.31%
Wzrost +1.20%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.15
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
83.08%89.84%90.54%95.15%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.011.061.041.1599.01%94.17%96.15%86.96%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Arthur Fils (Goście)
Prognoza 9.35%10.69kurs godziwy
EV +88.89%
Przewaga +4.40%
Kelly +4.63%
Wzrost +4.12%
przy maksymalnym kursie 20.20
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
4.85%10.16%9.46%16.92%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
5.509.5910.0020.2018.18%10.43%10.00%4.95%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (57 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.15%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000% | 20.20I 4.95%NM 4.85%EV +88.89%E +4.40%K +4.63%G +4.12% | 2.0% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Betway | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -7.54%E -7.39%K -376.90%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +30.91%E +2.21%K +2.38%G +0.735% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 18:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +21.56%E +1.66%K +1.80%G +0.387% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +16.89%E +1.35%K +1.47%G +0.248% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.37%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +12.21%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136% | 3.6% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Coral | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +12.21%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +12.21%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Casumo | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Unibet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| betPARX | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.37%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +2.86%E +0.260%K +0.286%G +0.008% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| 888sport | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +2.86%E +0.260%K +0.286%G +0.008% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +2.86%E +0.260%K +0.286%G +0.008% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +2.86%E +0.260%K +0.286%G +0.008% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -1.81%E -0.173%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -1.81%E -0.173%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -1.81%E -0.173%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -1.81%E -0.173%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -1.81%E -0.173%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -1.81%E -0.173%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -1.81%E -0.173%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Fliff | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.15%EV -8.44%E -8.36%K -844.46%G +0.000% | 10.40I 9.62%NM 8.85%EV -2.75%E -0.264%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.20%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -6.49%E -0.649%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 18:19 |
| Bovada | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.20%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -6.49%E -0.649%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.37%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -6.49%E -0.649%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.49%E -0.649%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 18:19 |
| TAB | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -6.49%E -0.649%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 18:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -7.54%E -7.39%K -376.90%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -6.49%E -0.649%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Betsson | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.45%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV -8.83%E -0.905%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.45%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV -8.83%E -0.905%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.20%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -11.17%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -11.17%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 18:19 |
| Fanatics | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -15.84%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.19%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV -20.52%E -2.41%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.01%EV +3.34%E +2.93%K +23.86%G +0.797% | 7.01I 14.27%NM 13.99%EV -34.45%E -4.91%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV +0.620%E +0.559%K +5.64%G +0.035% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -40.15%E -6.27%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 17:59 |
| GTbets | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.09%EV +1.53%E +1.36%K +12.72%G +0.194% | 6.39I 15.65%NM 14.91%EV -40.25%E -6.30%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 17:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV +1.53%E +1.36%K +12.72%G +0.194% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV -41.09%E -6.52%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 18:14 |
| Bally Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV +2.43%E +2.15%K +18.72%G +0.455% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -41.56%E -6.65%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| BetUS | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV +1.53%E +1.36%K +12.72%G +0.194% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -41.56%E -6.65%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 18:09 |
| PlayUp | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV +0.620%E +0.559%K +5.64%G +0.035% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -41.56%E -6.65%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV +2.43%E +2.15%K +18.72%G +0.455% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -43.89%E -7.32%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV +1.53%E +1.36%K +12.72%G +0.194% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -43.89%E -7.32%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV +0.620%E +0.559%K +5.64%G +0.035% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -43.89%E -7.32%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 18:14 |
| Everygame | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -0.286%E -0.260%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -43.89%E -7.32%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 17:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV +1.53%E +1.36%K +12.72%G +0.194% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -44.83%E -7.60%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| Neds | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV +0.620%E +0.559%K +5.64%G +0.035% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -45.76%E -7.89%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV +0.620%E +0.559%K +5.64%G +0.035% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -45.76%E -7.89%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 18:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV +4.25%E +3.69%K +28.31%G +1.20% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -46.14%E -8.01%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 18:13 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV +4.25%E +3.69%K +28.31%G +1.20% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -46.14%E -8.01%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 18:14 |
| Bet Victor | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV +1.53%E +1.36%K +12.72%G +0.194% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -48.57%E -8.83%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 17:58 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (2)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.19% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81% | 1.2% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |