مدرسة الاحتمالاتاللغة:العربية
Carlos Alcaraz v Arthur Fils
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Carlos Alcaraz (المضيف)
التنبؤ 90.65%1.10السعر العادل
EV +4.25%
الأفضلية +3.69%
Kelly +28.31%
النمو +1.20%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.15
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
83.08%89.84%90.54%95.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.011.061.041.1599.01%94.17%96.15%86.96%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Arthur Fils (الضيف)
التنبؤ 9.35%10.69السعر العادل
EV +88.89%
الأفضلية +4.40%
Kelly +4.63%
النمو +4.12%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 20.20
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
4.85%10.16%9.46%16.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.509.5910.0020.2018.18%10.43%10.00%4.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.15%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000% | 20.20I 4.95%NM 4.85%EV +88.89%E +4.40%K +4.63%G +4.12% | 2.0% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Betway | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -7.54%E -7.39%K -376.90%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +30.91%E +2.21%K +2.38%G +0.735% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 18:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +21.56%E +1.66%K +1.80%G +0.387% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +16.89%E +1.35%K +1.47%G +0.248% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.37%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +12.21%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136% | 3.6% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Coral | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +12.21%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +12.21%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Casumo | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Unibet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| betPARX | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.37%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +2.86%E +0.260%K +0.286%G +0.008% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| 888sport | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +2.86%E +0.260%K +0.286%G +0.008% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +2.86%E +0.260%K +0.286%G +0.008% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +2.86%E +0.260%K +0.286%G +0.008% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -1.81%E -0.173%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -1.81%E -0.173%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -1.81%E -0.173%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -1.81%E -0.173%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -1.81%E -0.173%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -1.81%E -0.173%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -1.81%E -0.173%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Fliff | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.15%EV -8.44%E -8.36%K -844.46%G +0.000% | 10.40I 9.62%NM 8.85%EV -2.75%E -0.264%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.20%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -6.49%E -0.649%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 18:19 |
| Bovada | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.20%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -6.49%E -0.649%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.37%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -6.49%E -0.649%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.49%E -0.649%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 18:19 |
| TAB | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -6.49%E -0.649%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 18:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -7.54%E -7.39%K -376.90%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -6.49%E -0.649%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Betsson | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.45%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV -8.83%E -0.905%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.45%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV -8.83%E -0.905%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.20%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -11.17%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -11.17%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 18:19 |
| Fanatics | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -15.84%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.19%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV -20.52%E -2.41%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.01%EV +3.34%E +2.93%K +23.86%G +0.797% | 7.01I 14.27%NM 13.99%EV -34.45%E -4.91%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV +0.620%E +0.559%K +5.64%G +0.035% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -40.15%E -6.27%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 17:59 |
| GTbets | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.09%EV +1.53%E +1.36%K +12.72%G +0.194% | 6.39I 15.65%NM 14.91%EV -40.25%E -6.30%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 17:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV +1.53%E +1.36%K +12.72%G +0.194% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV -41.09%E -6.52%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 18:14 |
| Bally Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV +2.43%E +2.15%K +18.72%G +0.455% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -41.56%E -6.65%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| BetUS | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV +1.53%E +1.36%K +12.72%G +0.194% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -41.56%E -6.65%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 18:09 |
| PlayUp | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV +0.620%E +0.559%K +5.64%G +0.035% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -41.56%E -6.65%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV +2.43%E +2.15%K +18.72%G +0.455% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -43.89%E -7.32%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV +1.53%E +1.36%K +12.72%G +0.194% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -43.89%E -7.32%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV +0.620%E +0.559%K +5.64%G +0.035% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -43.89%E -7.32%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 18:14 |
| Everygame | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -0.286%E -0.260%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -43.89%E -7.32%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 17:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV +1.53%E +1.36%K +12.72%G +0.194% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -44.83%E -7.60%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| Neds | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV +0.620%E +0.559%K +5.64%G +0.035% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -45.76%E -7.89%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV +0.620%E +0.559%K +5.64%G +0.035% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -45.76%E -7.89%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 18:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV +4.25%E +3.69%K +28.31%G +1.20% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -46.14%E -8.01%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 18:13 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV +4.25%E +3.69%K +28.31%G +1.20% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -46.14%E -8.01%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 18:14 |
| Bet Victor | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV +1.53%E +1.36%K +12.72%G +0.194% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -48.57%E -8.83%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 17:58 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (2)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.19% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81% | 1.2% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |