Die Wettquotenschule

Carlos Alcaraz v Arthur Fils

Spielbeginn: 2026-02-21 19:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

57 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Carlos Alcaraz (Heim)

Prognose 90.65%1.10faire Quote
EV +4.25%
Vorteil +3.69%
Kelly +28.31%
Wachstum +1.20%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.15

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
83.08%89.84%90.54%95.15%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.011.061.041.1599.01%94.17%96.15%86.96%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Arthur Fils (Auswärts)

Prognose 9.35%10.69faire Quote
EV +88.89%
Vorteil +4.40%
Kelly +4.63%
Wachstum +4.12%

bei einer Höchstquote von 20.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
4.85%10.16%9.46%16.92%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
5.509.5910.0020.2018.18%10.43%10.00%4.95%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (57 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
DraftKings1.03I 97.09%NM 95.15%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000%20.20I 4.95%NM 4.85%EV +88.89%E +4.40%K +4.63%G +4.12%2.0%2026-02-21 18:20
Betway1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -7.54%E -7.39%K -376.90%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +30.91%E +2.21%K +2.38%G +0.735%5.2%2026-02-21 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +21.56%E +1.66%K +1.80%G +0.387%3.8%2026-02-21 18:20
Winamax (DE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +16.89%E +1.35%K +1.47%G +0.248%5.1%2026-02-21 18:20
Winamax (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +12.21%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136%3.6%2026-02-21 18:20
Coral1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +12.21%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136%4.5%2026-02-21 18:20
Hard Rock Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +12.21%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136%4.5%2026-02-21 18:20
Coolbet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054%4.8%2026-02-21 18:20
Unibet (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054%4.8%2026-02-21 18:20
Casumo1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054%4.8%2026-02-21 18:20
Unibet (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054%4.8%2026-02-21 18:20
Unibet (NL)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054%4.8%2026-02-21 18:20
Unibet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054%4.8%2026-02-21 18:20
betPARX1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054%4.8%2026-02-21 18:20
Svenska Spel1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054%4.8%2026-02-21 18:20
ATG (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +7.54%E +0.655%K +0.718%G +0.054%4.8%2026-02-21 18:20
PointsBet (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.37%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +2.86%E +0.260%K +0.286%G +0.008%4.3%2026-02-21 18:20
888sport1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +2.86%E +0.260%K +0.286%G +0.008%6.2%2026-02-21 18:20
888sport (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +2.86%E +0.260%K +0.286%G +0.008%6.2%2026-02-21 18:20
Mr Green (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +2.86%E +0.260%K +0.286%G +0.008%6.2%2026-02-21 18:20
TABtouch1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -1.81%E -0.173%K -0.191%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 18:20
Grosvenor1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -1.81%E -0.173%K -0.191%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 18:20
LeoVegas1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -1.81%E -0.173%K -0.191%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 18:20
Virgin Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -1.81%E -0.173%K -0.191%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 18:20
LiveScore Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -1.81%E -0.173%K -0.191%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 18:20
BetRivers1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -1.81%E -0.173%K -0.191%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 18:20
BetMGM1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -1.81%E -0.173%K -0.191%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 18:20
Fliff1.01I 99.01%NM 91.15%EV -8.44%E -8.36%K -844.46%G +0.000%10.40I 9.62%NM 8.85%EV -2.75%E -0.264%K -0.292%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 18:20
BoyleSports1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.20%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -6.49%E -0.649%K -0.721%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 18:19
Bovada1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.20%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -6.49%E -0.649%K -0.721%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 18:20
theScore Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.37%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -6.49%E -0.649%K -0.721%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 18:20
Betclic (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.49%E -0.649%K -0.721%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 18:19
TAB1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -6.49%E -0.649%K -0.721%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 18:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -7.54%E -7.39%K -376.90%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -6.49%E -0.649%K -0.721%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 18:20
Betsson1.03I 97.09%NM 90.45%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV -8.83%E -0.905%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 18:20
NordicBet1.03I 97.09%NM 90.45%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV -8.83%E -0.905%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 18:20
FanDuel1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.20%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -11.17%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 18:20
Paddy Power1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.73%E -5.50%K -143.13%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -11.17%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 18:19
Fanatics1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -15.84%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 18:20
Tipico (DE)1.03I 97.09%NM 89.19%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.05%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV -20.52%E -2.41%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 18:20
Pinnacle1.14I 87.72%NM 86.01%EV +3.34%E +2.93%K +23.86%G +0.797%7.01I 14.27%NM 13.99%EV -34.45%E -4.91%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.0%2026-02-21 18:10
Parions Sport (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV +0.620%E +0.559%K +5.64%G +0.035%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -40.15%E -6.27%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 17:59
GTbets1.12I 89.29%NM 85.09%EV +1.53%E +1.36%K +12.72%G +0.194%6.39I 15.65%NM 14.91%EV -40.25%E -6.30%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 17:59
Marathon Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV +1.53%E +1.36%K +12.72%G +0.194%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV -41.09%E -6.52%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 18:14
Bally Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV +2.43%E +2.15%K +18.72%G +0.455%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -41.56%E -6.65%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 18:10
BetUS1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV +1.53%E +1.36%K +12.72%G +0.194%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -41.56%E -6.65%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 18:09
PlayUp1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV +0.620%E +0.559%K +5.64%G +0.035%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -41.56%E -6.65%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 18:10
Bet Right1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV +2.43%E +2.15%K +18.72%G +0.455%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -43.89%E -7.32%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 18:10
Unibet (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV +1.53%E +1.36%K +12.72%G +0.194%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -43.89%E -7.32%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 18:10
Betr (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV +0.620%E +0.559%K +5.64%G +0.035%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -43.89%E -7.32%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 18:14
Everygame1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -0.286%E -0.260%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -43.89%E -7.32%K -8.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 17:59
SportsBet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV +1.53%E +1.36%K +12.72%G +0.194%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -44.83%E -7.60%K -9.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 18:10
Neds1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV +0.620%E +0.559%K +5.64%G +0.035%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -45.76%E -7.89%K -9.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV +0.620%E +0.559%K +5.64%G +0.035%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -45.76%E -7.89%K -9.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 18:09
LowVig.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV +4.25%E +3.69%K +28.31%G +1.20%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -46.14%E -8.01%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 18:13
BetOnline.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV +4.25%E +3.69%K +28.31%G +1.20%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -46.14%E -8.01%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 18:14
Bet Victor1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV +1.53%E +1.36%K +12.72%G +0.194%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -48.57%E -8.83%K -10.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 17:58
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (2)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook1.06I 94.34%NM 93.19%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81%1.2%2026-02-21 18:20
Smarkets1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%3.8%2026-02-21 18:20