Language:English
Flavio Cobolli v Diego Dedura-Palomero
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Flavio Cobolli (Local)
Prediction 77.13%1.30fair odd
EV -1.27%
Edge -0.995%
Kelly -4.55%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.45%77.06%77.07%78.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.231.231.2885.47%81.48%81.30%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Diego Dedura-Palomero (Visit)
Prediction 22.87%4.37fair odd
EV +0.629%
Edge +0.143%
Kelly +0.185%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.01%22.94%22.93%25.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.734.134.204.4026.81%24.19%23.81%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Flavio Cobolli (Local): 77.13%; Diego Dedura-Palomero (Visit): 22.87%. For Diego Dedura-Palomero (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.37. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.629%.
Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +0.629%E +0.143%K +0.185%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 10:46 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -9.76%E -8.34%K -57.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV +0.629%E +0.143%K +0.185%G +0.001% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -4.36%E -3.52%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -0.743%E -0.171%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -4.36%E -3.52%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -0.743%E -0.171%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.44%E -6.20%K -37.22%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -0.972%E -0.224%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.36%E -3.52%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.66%E -0.385%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -6.67%E -5.51%K -31.78%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -1.66%E -0.385%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 11:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.36%E -3.52%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -2.80%E -0.659%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.80%E -0.659%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 10:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.44%E -6.20%K -37.22%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -2.80%E -0.659%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 10:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 11:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 10:51 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.44%E -6.20%K -37.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 10:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.65%EV -2.05%E -1.61%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.35%EV -4.63%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-14 10:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.80%EV -2.82%E -2.24%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.20%EV -4.63%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-14 11:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.36%E -3.52%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -5.09%E -1.23%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.36%E -3.52%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 10:42 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.36%E -3.52%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 10:42 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 11:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -7.38%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 10:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.59%E -2.87%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 11:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.59%E -2.87%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 10:41 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -6.67%E -5.51%K -31.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-14 10:42 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.44%E -6.20%K -37.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -6.67%E -5.51%K -31.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -9.66%E -2.45%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.59%E -2.87%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.81%E -2.77%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 10:42 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.59%E -2.87%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -11.95%E -3.10%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 11:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -14.24%E -3.80%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.45%EV -1.27%E -0.995%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.55%EV -14.69%E -3.94%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 10:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-04-14 10:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-04-14 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-04-14 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-04-14 10:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-04-14 10:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12% | 2.7% | 2026-04-14 11:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.09% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.91% | 2.9% | 2026-04-14 11:05 |