مدرسة الاحتمالات

Flavio Cobolli v Diego Dedura-Palomero

البداية: 2026-04-14 11:10 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Flavio Cobolli (المضيف)

التنبؤ 77.13%1.30السعر العادل
EV -1.27%
الأفضلية -0.995%
Kelly -4.55%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.28

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
74.45%77.06%77.07%78.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.171.231.231.2885.47%81.48%81.30%78.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Diego Dedura-Palomero (الضيف)

التنبؤ 22.87%4.37السعر العادل
EV +0.629%
الأفضلية +0.143%
Kelly +0.185%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.01%22.94%22.93%25.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.734.134.204.4026.81%24.19%23.81%22.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +0.629%E +0.143%K +0.185%G +0.001%4.7%2026-04-14 10:46
Tipico (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -9.76%E -8.34%K -57.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV +0.629%E +0.143%K +0.185%G +0.001%8.2%2026-04-14 10:25
BetOnline.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -4.36%E -3.52%K -18.16%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -0.743%E -0.171%K -0.222%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-14 10:38
LowVig.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -4.36%E -3.52%K -18.16%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -0.743%E -0.171%K -0.222%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-14 10:38
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.44%E -6.20%K -37.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -0.972%E -0.224%K -0.292%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 10:25
Winamax (DE)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.36%E -3.52%K -18.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.66%E -0.385%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-14 10:25
Betclic (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -6.67%E -5.51%K -31.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -1.66%E -0.385%K -0.502%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 11:00
Hard Rock Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.36%E -3.52%K -18.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -2.80%E -0.659%K -0.862%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 10:25
BetUS1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.80%E -0.659%K -0.862%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 10:24
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.44%E -6.20%K -37.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -2.80%E -0.659%K -0.862%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 10:25
TABtouch1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:25
Unibet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:25
Unibet (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:25
Unibet (NL)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:25
LeoVegas1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:25
Grosvenor1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:25
Casumo1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:25
BetRivers1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:25
Bally Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:25
ATG (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:25
betPARX1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:25
Svenska Spel1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:25
ReBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:25
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 10:24
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 10:25
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 11:00
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 10:51
Caesars1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.44%E -6.20%K -37.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 10:24
Pinnacle1.27I 78.74%NM 76.65%EV -2.05%E -1.61%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.35%EV -4.63%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-14 10:55
GTbets1.26I 79.37%NM 76.80%EV -2.82%E -2.24%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.20%EV -4.63%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-14 11:05
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.36%E -3.52%K -18.16%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -5.09%E -1.23%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 10:25
Coolbet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.36%E -3.52%K -18.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:42
Bet Right1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.36%E -3.52%K -18.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:42
theScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 10:25
Winamax (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 10:25
Unibet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 11:05
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 10:25
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 10:25
Codere (IT)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 10:25
Betr (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -7.38%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 10:50
1xBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.59%E -2.87%K -14.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 11:05
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.59%E -2.87%K -14.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:41
LiveScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:25
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:25
Virgin Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:25
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:25
NetBet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -6.67%E -5.51%K -31.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 10:42
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.44%E -6.20%K -37.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 10:25
PMU (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -6.67%E -5.51%K -31.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -9.66%E -2.45%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 10:25
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.59%E -2.87%K -14.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.81%E -2.77%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 10:42
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.59%E -2.87%K -14.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -11.95%E -3.10%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 11:00
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -14.24%E -3.80%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-14 10:20
DraftKings1.28I 78.13%NM 74.45%EV -1.27%E -0.995%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.55%EV -14.69%E -3.94%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 10:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-04-14 10:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-04-14 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-04-14 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-04-14 10:55
ProphetX1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-04-14 10:59
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%2.7%2026-04-14 11:05
Novig1.26I 79.37%NM 77.09%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.91%2.9%2026-04-14 11:05