StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Flavio Cobolli v Diego Dedura-Palomero

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-14 11:10 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

56 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Flavio Cobolli (Heim)

Prognose 77.13%1.30faire Quote
EV -1.27%
Vorteil -0.995%
Kelly -4.55%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.28

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
74.45%77.06%77.07%78.99%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.171.231.231.2885.47%81.48%81.30%78.13%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Diego Dedura-Palomero (Auswärts)

Prognose 22.87%4.37faire Quote
EV +0.629%
Vorteil +0.143%
Kelly +0.185%
Wachstum +0.001%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
21.01%22.94%22.93%25.55%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.734.134.204.4026.81%24.19%23.81%22.73%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Flavio Cobolli (Heim): 77.13%; Diego Dedura-Palomero (Auswärts): 22.87%. Für Diego Dedura-Palomero (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.37. 2 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 4.40 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +0.629%.

Wettanbieterquoten (56 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
FanDuel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +0.629%E +0.143%K +0.185%G +0.001%4.7%2026-04-14 10:46
Tipico (DE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -9.76%E -8.34%K -57.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV +0.629%E +0.143%K +0.185%G +0.001%8.2%2026-04-14 10:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -4.36%E -3.52%K -18.16%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -0.743%E -0.171%K -0.222%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-14 10:38
LowVig.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -4.36%E -3.52%K -18.16%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -0.743%E -0.171%K -0.222%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-14 10:38
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.44%E -6.20%K -37.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -0.972%E -0.224%K -0.292%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 10:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.36%E -3.52%K -18.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.66%E -0.385%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-14 10:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -6.67%E -5.51%K -31.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -1.66%E -0.385%K -0.502%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 11:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.36%E -3.52%K -18.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -2.80%E -0.659%K -0.862%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 10:25
BetUS🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.80%E -0.659%K -0.862%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 10:24
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.44%E -6.20%K -37.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -2.80%E -0.659%K -0.862%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 10:25
TABtouch🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:25
Unibet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:25
LeoVegas🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:25
Grosvenor🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:25
Casumo🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:25
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:25
Bally Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:25
betPARX🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:25
ReBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:25
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 10:24
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 10:25
NordicBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 11:00
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 10:51
Caesars🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.44%E -6.20%K -37.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 10:24
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.65%EV -2.05%E -1.61%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.35%EV -4.63%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-14 10:55
GTbets🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.80%EV -2.82%E -2.24%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.20%EV -4.63%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-14 11:05
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.36%E -3.52%K -18.16%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -5.09%E -1.23%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 10:25
Coolbet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.36%E -3.52%K -18.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:42
Bet Right🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.36%E -3.52%K -18.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:42
theScore Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 10:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 10:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 11:05
Betsson🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 10:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 10:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 10:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -7.38%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 10:50
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.59%E -2.87%K -14.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 11:05
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.59%E -2.87%K -14.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:41
LiveScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:25
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:25
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -6.67%E -5.51%K -31.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 10:42
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.44%E -6.20%K -37.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 10:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -6.67%E -5.51%K -31.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -9.66%E -2.45%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 10:25
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.59%E -2.87%K -14.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.81%E -2.77%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 10:42
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.59%E -2.87%K -14.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -11.95%E -3.10%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 11:00
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -14.24%E -3.80%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-14 10:20
DraftKings🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.45%EV -1.27%E -0.995%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.55%EV -14.69%E -3.94%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 10:55
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-04-14 10:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-04-14 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-04-14 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-04-14 10:55
ProphetX1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-04-14 10:59
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%2.7%2026-04-14 11:05
Novig1.26I 79.37%NM 77.09%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.91%2.9%2026-04-14 11:05