La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Flavio Cobolli v Diego Dedura-Palomero
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Flavio Cobolli (Local)
Predicción 77.13%1.30momio equitativo
EV -1.27%
Ventaja -0.995%
Kelly -4.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
74.45%77.06%77.07%78.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.171.231.231.2885.47%81.48%81.30%78.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Diego Dedura-Palomero (Visitante)
Predicción 22.87%4.37momio equitativo
EV +0.629%
Ventaja +0.143%
Kelly +0.185%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.01%22.94%22.93%25.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.734.134.204.4026.81%24.19%23.81%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +0.629%E +0.143%K +0.185%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 10:46 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -9.76%E -8.34%K -57.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV +0.629%E +0.143%K +0.185%G +0.001% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -4.36%E -3.52%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -0.743%E -0.171%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -4.36%E -3.52%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -0.743%E -0.171%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| Sky Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.44%E -6.20%K -37.22%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -0.972%E -0.224%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.36%E -3.52%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.66%E -0.385%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -6.67%E -5.51%K -31.78%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -1.66%E -0.385%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 11:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.36%E -3.52%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -2.80%E -0.659%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| BetUS | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.80%E -0.659%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 10:24 |
| SportsBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.44%E -6.20%K -37.22%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -2.80%E -0.659%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Unibet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Casumo | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| BetRivers | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Bally Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| betPARX | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| ReBet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| William Hill | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 10:24 |
| 888sport | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 11:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 10:51 |
| Caesars | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.44%E -6.20%K -37.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 10:24 |
| Pinnacle | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.65%EV -2.05%E -1.61%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.35%EV -4.63%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-14 10:55 |
| GTbets | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.80%EV -2.82%E -2.24%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.20%EV -4.63%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-14 11:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.36%E -3.52%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -5.09%E -1.23%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.36%E -3.52%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 10:42 |
| Bet Right | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.36%E -3.52%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 10:42 |
| theScore Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 11:05 |
| Betsson | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -7.38%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 10:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.59%E -2.87%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 11:05 |
| Bovada | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.59%E -2.87%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 10:41 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Coral | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Neds | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -6.67%E -5.51%K -31.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-14 10:42 |
| Paddy Power | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.44%E -6.20%K -37.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -6.67%E -5.51%K -31.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -9.66%E -2.45%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Betway | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.59%E -2.87%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.81%E -2.77%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 10:42 |
| PlayUp | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.59%E -2.87%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -11.95%E -3.10%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 11:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -14.24%E -3.80%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.45%EV -1.27%E -0.995%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.55%EV -14.69%E -3.94%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 10:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-04-14 10:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-04-14 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-04-14 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-04-14 10:55 |
| ProphetX | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-04-14 10:59 |
| Smarkets | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12% | 2.7% | 2026-04-14 11:05 |
| Novig | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.09% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.91% | 2.9% | 2026-04-14 11:05 |