Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Flavio Cobolli v Diego Dedura-Palomero

Inizio: 2026-04-14 11:10 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

56 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Flavio Cobolli (Casa)

Previsione 77.13%1.30quota equa
EV -1.27%
Vantaggio -0.995%
Kelly -4.55%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.28

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
74.45%77.06%77.07%78.99%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.171.231.231.2885.47%81.48%81.30%78.13%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Diego Dedura-Palomero (Trasferta)

Previsione 22.87%4.37quota equa
EV +0.629%
Vantaggio +0.143%
Kelly +0.185%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.01%22.94%22.93%25.55%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.734.134.204.4026.81%24.19%23.81%22.73%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Flavio Cobolli (Casa): 77.13%; Diego Dedura-Palomero (Trasferta): 22.87%. Per Diego Dedura-Palomero (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.37. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.40, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.629%.

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
FanDuel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +0.629%E +0.143%K +0.185%G +0.001%4.7%2026-04-14 10:46
Tipico (DE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -9.76%E -8.34%K -57.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV +0.629%E +0.143%K +0.185%G +0.001%8.2%2026-04-14 10:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -4.36%E -3.52%K -18.16%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -0.743%E -0.171%K -0.222%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-14 10:38
LowVig.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -4.36%E -3.52%K -18.16%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -0.743%E -0.171%K -0.222%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-14 10:38
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.44%E -6.20%K -37.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -0.972%E -0.224%K -0.292%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 10:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.36%E -3.52%K -18.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.66%E -0.385%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-14 10:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -6.67%E -5.51%K -31.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -1.66%E -0.385%K -0.502%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 11:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.36%E -3.52%K -18.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -2.80%E -0.659%K -0.862%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 10:25
BetUS🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.80%E -0.659%K -0.862%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 10:24
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.44%E -6.20%K -37.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -2.80%E -0.659%K -0.862%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 10:25
TABtouch🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:25
Unibet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:25
LeoVegas🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:25
Grosvenor🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:25
Casumo🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:25
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:25
Bally Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:25
betPARX🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:25
ReBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:25
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 10:24
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 10:25
NordicBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 11:00
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 10:51
Caesars🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.44%E -6.20%K -37.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 10:24
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.65%EV -2.05%E -1.61%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.35%EV -4.63%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-14 10:55
GTbets🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.80%EV -2.82%E -2.24%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.20%EV -4.63%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-14 11:05
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.36%E -3.52%K -18.16%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -5.09%E -1.23%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 10:25
Coolbet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.36%E -3.52%K -18.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:42
Bet Right🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.36%E -3.52%K -18.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:42
theScore Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 10:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 10:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 11:05
Betsson🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 10:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 10:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 10:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -7.38%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 10:50
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.59%E -2.87%K -14.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 11:05
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.59%E -2.87%K -14.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:41
LiveScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:25
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:25
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -6.67%E -5.51%K -31.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 10:42
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.44%E -6.20%K -37.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 10:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -6.67%E -5.51%K -31.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -9.66%E -2.45%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 10:25
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.59%E -2.87%K -14.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.81%E -2.77%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 10:42
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.59%E -2.87%K -14.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -11.95%E -3.10%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 11:00
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -14.24%E -3.80%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-14 10:20
DraftKings🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.45%EV -1.27%E -0.995%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.55%EV -14.69%E -3.94%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 10:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-04-14 10:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-04-14 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-04-14 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-04-14 10:55
ProphetX1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-04-14 10:59
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%2.7%2026-04-14 11:05
Novig1.26I 79.37%NM 77.09%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.91%2.9%2026-04-14 11:05