La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Flavio Cobolli v Diego Dedura-Palomero
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Flavio Cobolli (Casa)
Previsione 77.13%1.30quota equa
EV -1.27%
Vantaggio -0.995%
Kelly -4.55%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.28
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
74.45%77.06%77.07%78.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.171.231.231.2885.47%81.48%81.30%78.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Diego Dedura-Palomero (Trasferta)
Previsione 22.87%4.37quota equa
EV +0.629%
Vantaggio +0.143%
Kelly +0.185%
Crescita +0.001%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.40
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.01%22.94%22.93%25.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.734.134.204.4026.81%24.19%23.81%22.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +0.629%E +0.143%K +0.185%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 10:46 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -9.76%E -8.34%K -57.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV +0.629%E +0.143%K +0.185%G +0.001% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -4.36%E -3.52%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -0.743%E -0.171%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -4.36%E -3.52%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -0.743%E -0.171%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| Sky Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.44%E -6.20%K -37.22%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -0.972%E -0.224%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.36%E -3.52%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.66%E -0.385%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -6.67%E -5.51%K -31.78%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -1.66%E -0.385%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 11:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.36%E -3.52%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -2.80%E -0.659%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| BetUS | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.80%E -0.659%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 10:24 |
| SportsBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.44%E -6.20%K -37.22%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -2.80%E -0.659%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Unibet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Casumo | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| BetRivers | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Bally Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| betPARX | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| ReBet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| William Hill | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 10:24 |
| 888sport | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 11:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 10:51 |
| Caesars | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.44%E -6.20%K -37.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 10:24 |
| Pinnacle | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.65%EV -2.05%E -1.61%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.35%EV -4.63%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-14 10:55 |
| GTbets | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.80%EV -2.82%E -2.24%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.20%EV -4.63%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-14 11:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.36%E -3.52%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -5.09%E -1.23%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.36%E -3.52%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 10:42 |
| Bet Right | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.36%E -3.52%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 10:42 |
| theScore Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 11:05 |
| Betsson | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -7.38%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 10:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.59%E -2.87%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 11:05 |
| Bovada | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.59%E -2.87%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 10:41 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Coral | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Neds | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -6.67%E -5.51%K -31.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-14 10:42 |
| Paddy Power | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.44%E -6.20%K -37.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -6.67%E -5.51%K -31.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -9.66%E -2.45%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Betway | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.59%E -2.87%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.81%E -2.77%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 10:42 |
| PlayUp | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.59%E -2.87%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -11.95%E -3.10%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 11:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -14.24%E -3.80%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.45%EV -1.27%E -0.995%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.55%EV -14.69%E -3.94%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 10:55 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-04-14 10:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-04-14 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-04-14 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-04-14 10:55 |
| ProphetX | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-04-14 10:59 |
| Smarkets | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12% | 2.7% | 2026-04-14 11:05 |
| Novig | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.09% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.91% | 2.9% | 2026-04-14 11:05 |