L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Flavio Cobolli v Diego Dedura-Palomero
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Flavio Cobolli (Local)
Prévision 77.13%1.30cote équitable
EV -1.27%
Avantage -0.995%
Kelly -4.55%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.28
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
74.45%77.06%77.07%78.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.171.231.231.2885.47%81.48%81.30%78.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Diego Dedura-Palomero (Visiteur)
Prévision 22.87%4.37cote équitable
EV +0.629%
Avantage +0.143%
Kelly +0.185%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 4.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.01%22.94%22.93%25.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.734.134.204.4026.81%24.19%23.81%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +0.629%E +0.143%K +0.185%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 10:46 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -9.76%E -8.34%K -57.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV +0.629%E +0.143%K +0.185%G +0.001% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -4.36%E -3.52%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -0.743%E -0.171%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -4.36%E -3.52%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -0.743%E -0.171%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| Sky Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.44%E -6.20%K -37.22%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -0.972%E -0.224%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.36%E -3.52%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.66%E -0.385%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -6.67%E -5.51%K -31.78%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -1.66%E -0.385%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 11:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.36%E -3.52%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -2.80%E -0.659%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| BetUS | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.80%E -0.659%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 10:24 |
| SportsBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.44%E -6.20%K -37.22%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -2.80%E -0.659%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Unibet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Casumo | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| BetRivers | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Bally Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| betPARX | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| ReBet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| William Hill | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 10:24 |
| 888sport | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 11:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 10:51 |
| Caesars | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.44%E -6.20%K -37.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.94%E -0.939%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 10:24 |
| Pinnacle | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.65%EV -2.05%E -1.61%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.35%EV -4.63%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-14 10:55 |
| GTbets | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.80%EV -2.82%E -2.24%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.20%EV -4.63%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-14 11:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.36%E -3.52%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -5.09%E -1.23%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.36%E -3.52%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 10:42 |
| Bet Right | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.36%E -3.52%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 10:42 |
| theScore Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 11:05 |
| Betsson | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.13%E -4.17%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -7.38%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 10:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.59%E -2.87%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 11:05 |
| Bovada | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.59%E -2.87%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 10:41 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Coral | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Neds | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -6.67%E -5.51%K -31.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-14 10:42 |
| Paddy Power | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.44%E -6.20%K -37.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -6.67%E -5.51%K -31.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -9.66%E -2.45%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Betway | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.59%E -2.87%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.81%E -2.77%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 10:42 |
| PlayUp | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.59%E -2.87%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -11.95%E -3.10%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 11:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.90%E -4.84%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -14.24%E -3.80%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.45%EV -1.27%E -0.995%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.55%EV -14.69%E -3.94%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 10:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-04-14 10:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-04-14 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-04-14 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-04-14 10:55 |
| ProphetX | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-04-14 10:59 |
| Smarkets | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12% | 2.7% | 2026-04-14 11:05 |
| Novig | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.09% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.91% | 2.9% | 2026-04-14 11:05 |