Language:English
Flavio Cobolli v Ben Shelton
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Flavio Cobolli (Local)
Prediction 39.79%2.51fair odd
EV +15.38%
Edge +5.30%
Kelly +8.10%
Growth +1.25%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.24%39.78%39.63%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.802.272.282.9055.56%44.04%43.86%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ben Shelton (Visit)
Prediction 60.21%1.66fair odd
EV +20.42%
Edge +10.21%
Kelly +20.42%
Growth +4.17%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%60.22%60.37%67.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.631.582.0072.46%61.25%63.29%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Flavio Cobolli (Local): 39.79%; Ben Shelton (Visit): 60.21%. For Ben Shelton (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.66. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +20.42%.
Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -28.38%E -15.77%K -35.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +20.42%E +10.21%K +20.42%G +4.17% | 5.6% | 2026-04-19 11:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -28.38%E -15.77%K -35.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +20.42%E +10.21%K +20.42%G +4.17% | 5.6% | 2026-04-19 11:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -25.20%E -13.40%K -28.64%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV +15.61%E +8.13%K +16.96%G +2.65% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 11:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -26.39%E -14.27%K -31.05%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV +15.61%E +8.13%K +16.96%G +2.65% | 6.1% | 2026-04-19 11:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -24.01%E -12.57%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +15.01%E +7.86%K +16.49%G +2.47% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -24.01%E -12.57%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +15.01%E +7.86%K +16.49%G +2.47% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 11:38 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -24.01%E -12.57%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +15.01%E +7.86%K +16.49%G +2.47% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 11:38 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -27.19%E -14.86%K -32.76%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV +14.40%E +7.58%K +16.00%G +2.31% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -27.19%E -14.86%K -32.76%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV +14.40%E +7.58%K +16.00%G +2.31% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 11:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -24.01%E -12.57%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +13.20%E +7.02%K +15.00%G +1.98% | 5.5% | 2026-04-19 11:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -24.40%E -12.84%K -27.11%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV +12.60%E +6.74%K +14.48%G +1.82% | 6.1% | 2026-04-19 11:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -25.60%E -13.69%K -29.42%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +12.60%E +6.74%K +14.48%G +1.82% | 7.0% | 2026-04-19 11:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV +1.76%E +1.04%K +2.55%G +0.045% | 4.6% | 2026-04-19 11:42 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -10.48%E -4.66%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.650%E -0.394%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -10.48%E -4.66%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.650%E -0.394%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -9.68%E -4.27%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -1.25%E -0.763%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.46%E -1.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.46%E -1.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -14.46%E -6.72%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -2.46%E -1.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.31%E -2.23%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.50%E -2.77%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -3.66%E -2.29%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -7.69%E -3.32%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -4.86%E -3.08%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -14.46%E -6.72%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -4.86%E -3.08%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -7.69%E -3.32%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.47%E -3.48%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -14.46%E -6.72%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -5.47%E -3.48%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.07%E -3.89%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -9.28%E -4.07%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -6.07%E -3.89%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -9.28%E -4.07%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -6.07%E -3.89%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +1.46%E +0.572%K +0.941%G +0.014% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +1.46%E +0.572%K +0.941%G +0.014% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +1.46%E +0.572%K +0.941%G +0.014% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +1.46%E +0.572%K +0.941%G +0.014% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +1.46%E +0.572%K +0.941%G +0.014% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.88%E -5.15%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -8.48%E -5.58%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.48%E -5.58%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.48%E -5.58%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.48%E -5.58%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -9.08%E -6.01%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -9.08%E -6.01%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -8.49%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -9.08%E -6.01%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV +6.63%E +2.47%K +3.95%G +0.262% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -9.68%E -6.45%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.68%E -6.45%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.68%E -6.45%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -9.68%E -6.45%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV +4.24%E +1.62%K +2.62%G +0.111% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -12.69%E -8.75%K -28.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 11:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -12.69%E -8.75%K -28.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -13.29%E -9.23%K -30.21%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV +15.38%E +5.30%K +8.10%G +1.25% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -16.91%E -12.25%K -44.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 11:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 0.6% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 0.7% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 1.5% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.71% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.29% | 3.6% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95% | 3.8% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Novig◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 11:43 |