A Escola das Odds

Flavio Cobolli v Ben Shelton

Início: 2026-04-19 12:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Flavio Cobolli (Local)

Previsão 39.79%2.51odd justa
EV +15.38%
Vantagem +5.30%
Kelly +8.10%
Crescimento +1.25%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.24%39.78%39.63%52.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.802.272.282.9055.56%44.04%43.86%34.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Ben Shelton (Visitante)

Previsão 60.21%1.66odd justa
EV +20.42%
Vantagem +10.21%
Kelly +20.42%
Crescimento +4.17%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.37%60.22%60.37%67.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.381.631.582.0072.46%61.25%63.29%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -28.38%E -15.77%K -35.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +20.42%E +10.21%K +20.42%G +4.17%5.6%2026-04-19 11:30
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -28.38%E -15.77%K -35.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +20.42%E +10.21%K +20.42%G +4.17%5.6%2026-04-19 11:30
SportsBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -25.20%E -13.40%K -28.64%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV +15.61%E +8.13%K +16.96%G +2.65%5.3%2026-04-19 11:39
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -26.39%E -14.27%K -31.05%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV +15.61%E +8.13%K +16.96%G +2.65%6.1%2026-04-19 11:35
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -24.01%E -12.57%K -26.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +15.01%E +7.86%K +16.49%G +2.47%4.7%2026-04-19 11:30
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -24.01%E -12.57%K -26.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +15.01%E +7.86%K +16.49%G +2.47%4.7%2026-04-19 11:38
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -24.01%E -12.57%K -26.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +15.01%E +7.86%K +16.49%G +2.47%4.7%2026-04-19 11:38
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -27.19%E -14.86%K -32.76%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV +14.40%E +7.58%K +16.00%G +2.31%7.3%2026-04-19 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -27.19%E -14.86%K -32.76%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV +14.40%E +7.58%K +16.00%G +2.31%7.3%2026-04-19 11:30
Bally Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -24.01%E -12.57%K -26.38%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +13.20%E +7.02%K +15.00%G +1.98%5.5%2026-04-19 11:39
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -24.40%E -12.84%K -27.11%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV +12.60%E +6.74%K +14.48%G +1.82%6.1%2026-04-19 11:40
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -25.60%E -13.69%K -29.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +12.60%E +6.74%K +14.48%G +1.82%7.0%2026-04-19 11:30
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV +1.76%E +1.04%K +2.55%G +0.045%4.6%2026-04-19 11:42
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -10.48%E -4.66%K -8.38%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.650%E -0.394%K -1.000%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 11:45
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -10.48%E -4.66%K -8.38%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.650%E -0.394%K -1.000%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 11:45
DraftKings2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -9.68%E -4.27%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -1.25%E -0.763%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 11:45
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.46%E -1.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 11:45
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.46%E -1.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 11:45
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -14.46%E -6.72%K -12.57%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -2.46%E -1.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 11:45
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.31%E -2.23%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 11:45
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.50%E -2.77%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 11:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 11:45
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 11:45
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 11:45
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 11:45
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 11:45
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -3.66%E -2.29%K -6.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 11:45
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -7.69%E -3.32%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -4.86%E -3.08%K -8.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 11:45
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -14.46%E -6.72%K -12.57%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -4.86%E -3.08%K -8.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 11:45
BetRivers2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -7.69%E -3.32%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.47%E -3.48%K -9.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 11:45
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -14.46%E -6.72%K -12.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -5.47%E -3.48%K -9.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 11:45
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.07%E -3.89%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 11:45
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -9.28%E -4.07%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -6.07%E -3.89%K -10.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 11:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -9.28%E -4.07%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -6.07%E -3.89%K -10.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 11:45
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +1.46%E +0.572%K +0.941%G +0.014%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-19 11:45
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +1.46%E +0.572%K +0.941%G +0.014%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-19 11:45
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +1.46%E +0.572%K +0.941%G +0.014%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-19 11:45
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +1.46%E +0.572%K +0.941%G +0.014%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-19 11:45
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +1.46%E +0.572%K +0.941%G +0.014%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-19 11:45
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 11:45
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.88%E -5.15%K -14.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 11:45
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -8.48%E -5.58%K -16.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 11:45
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.48%E -5.58%K -16.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 11:45
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.48%E -5.58%K -16.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 11:45
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.48%E -5.58%K -16.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 11:45
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -9.08%E -6.01%K -17.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 11:45
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -9.08%E -6.01%K -17.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 11:45
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -8.49%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -9.08%E -6.01%K -17.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 11:45
Pinnacle2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV +6.63%E +2.47%K +3.95%G +0.262%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -9.68%E -6.45%K -19.36%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 11:45
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.68%E -6.45%K -19.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 11:45
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.68%E -6.45%K -19.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 11:45
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -9.68%E -6.45%K -19.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 11:45
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV +4.24%E +1.62%K +2.62%G +0.111%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -12.69%E -8.75%K -28.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 11:44
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -12.69%E -8.75%K -28.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 11:45
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -13.29%E -9.23%K -30.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 11:45
Caesars2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV +15.38%E +5.30%K +8.10%G +1.25%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -16.91%E -12.25%K -44.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 11:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-04-19 11:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%0.7%2026-04-19 11:45
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%1.5%2026-04-19 11:45
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 37.71%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.29%3.6%2026-04-19 11:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%3.8%2026-04-19 11:45
Novig2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%6.5%2026-04-19 11:43