L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Flavio Cobolli v Ben Shelton
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Flavio Cobolli (Local)
Prévision 39.79%2.51cote équitable
EV +15.38%
Avantage +5.30%
Kelly +8.10%
Croissance +1.25%
avec la cote maximale 2.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.24%39.78%39.63%52.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.802.272.282.9055.56%44.04%43.86%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Ben Shelton (Visiteur)
Prévision 60.21%1.66cote équitable
EV +20.42%
Avantage +10.21%
Kelly +20.42%
Croissance +4.17%
avec la cote maximale 2.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.37%60.22%60.37%67.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.381.631.582.0072.46%61.25%63.29%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -28.38%E -15.77%K -35.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +20.42%E +10.21%K +20.42%G +4.17% | 5.6% | 2026-04-19 11:30 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -28.38%E -15.77%K -35.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +20.42%E +10.21%K +20.42%G +4.17% | 5.6% | 2026-04-19 11:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -25.20%E -13.40%K -28.64%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV +15.61%E +8.13%K +16.96%G +2.65% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 11:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -26.39%E -14.27%K -31.05%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV +15.61%E +8.13%K +16.96%G +2.65% | 6.1% | 2026-04-19 11:35 |
| 1xBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -24.01%E -12.57%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +15.01%E +7.86%K +16.49%G +2.47% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -24.01%E -12.57%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +15.01%E +7.86%K +16.49%G +2.47% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 11:38 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -24.01%E -12.57%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +15.01%E +7.86%K +16.49%G +2.47% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 11:38 |
| Neds | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -27.19%E -14.86%K -32.76%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV +14.40%E +7.58%K +16.00%G +2.31% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -27.19%E -14.86%K -32.76%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV +14.40%E +7.58%K +16.00%G +2.31% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 11:30 |
| Bally Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -24.01%E -12.57%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +13.20%E +7.02%K +15.00%G +1.98% | 5.5% | 2026-04-19 11:39 |
| PlayUp | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -24.40%E -12.84%K -27.11%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV +12.60%E +6.74%K +14.48%G +1.82% | 6.1% | 2026-04-19 11:40 |
| BetUS | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -25.60%E -13.69%K -29.42%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +12.60%E +6.74%K +14.48%G +1.82% | 7.0% | 2026-04-19 11:30 |
| Bovada | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV +1.76%E +1.04%K +2.55%G +0.045% | 4.6% | 2026-04-19 11:42 |
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -10.48%E -4.66%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.650%E -0.394%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -10.48%E -4.66%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.650%E -0.394%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| DraftKings | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -9.68%E -4.27%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -1.25%E -0.763%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.46%E -1.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Sky Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.46%E -1.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -14.46%E -6.72%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -2.46%E -1.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| betPARX | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.31%E -2.23%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.50%E -2.77%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Betsson | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -3.66%E -2.29%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -7.69%E -3.32%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -4.86%E -3.08%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -14.46%E -6.72%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -4.86%E -3.08%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| BetRivers | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -7.69%E -3.32%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.47%E -3.48%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Fliff | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -14.46%E -6.72%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -5.47%E -3.48%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Casumo | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.07%E -3.89%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| LeoVegas | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -9.28%E -4.07%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -6.07%E -3.89%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -9.28%E -4.07%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -6.07%E -3.89%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Unibet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +1.46%E +0.572%K +0.941%G +0.014% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +1.46%E +0.572%K +0.941%G +0.014% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +1.46%E +0.572%K +0.941%G +0.014% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +1.46%E +0.572%K +0.941%G +0.014% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +1.46%E +0.572%K +0.941%G +0.014% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| FanDuel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.88%E -5.15%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -8.48%E -5.58%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.48%E -5.58%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.48%E -5.58%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| TAB | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.48%E -5.58%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -9.08%E -6.01%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -9.08%E -6.01%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -8.49%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -9.08%E -6.01%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Pinnacle | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV +6.63%E +2.47%K +3.95%G +0.262% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -9.68%E -6.45%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.68%E -6.45%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.68%E -6.45%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -9.68%E -6.45%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Bet Victor | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV +4.24%E +1.62%K +2.62%G +0.111% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -12.69%E -8.75%K -28.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 11:44 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -12.69%E -8.75%K -28.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -13.29%E -9.23%K -30.21%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Caesars | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV +15.38%E +5.30%K +8.10%G +1.25% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -16.91%E -12.25%K -44.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 11:44 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 0.6% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 0.7% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Matchbook | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 1.5% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Smarkets | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.71% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.29% | 3.6% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95% | 3.8% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Novig | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 11:43 |