مدرسة الاحتمالات

Flavio Cobolli v Ben Shelton

البداية: 2026-04-19 12:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Flavio Cobolli (المضيف)

التنبؤ 39.79%2.51السعر العادل
EV +15.38%
الأفضلية +5.30%
Kelly +8.10%
النمو +1.25%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.24%39.78%39.63%52.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.802.272.282.9055.56%44.04%43.86%34.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Ben Shelton (الضيف)

التنبؤ 60.21%1.66السعر العادل
EV +20.42%
الأفضلية +10.21%
Kelly +20.42%
النمو +4.17%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
47.37%60.22%60.37%67.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.381.631.582.0072.46%61.25%63.29%50.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -28.38%E -15.77%K -35.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +20.42%E +10.21%K +20.42%G +4.17%5.6%2026-04-19 11:30
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -28.38%E -15.77%K -35.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +20.42%E +10.21%K +20.42%G +4.17%5.6%2026-04-19 11:30
SportsBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -25.20%E -13.40%K -28.64%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV +15.61%E +8.13%K +16.96%G +2.65%5.3%2026-04-19 11:39
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -26.39%E -14.27%K -31.05%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV +15.61%E +8.13%K +16.96%G +2.65%6.1%2026-04-19 11:35
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -24.01%E -12.57%K -26.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +15.01%E +7.86%K +16.49%G +2.47%4.7%2026-04-19 11:30
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -24.01%E -12.57%K -26.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +15.01%E +7.86%K +16.49%G +2.47%4.7%2026-04-19 11:38
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -24.01%E -12.57%K -26.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +15.01%E +7.86%K +16.49%G +2.47%4.7%2026-04-19 11:38
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -27.19%E -14.86%K -32.76%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV +14.40%E +7.58%K +16.00%G +2.31%7.3%2026-04-19 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -27.19%E -14.86%K -32.76%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV +14.40%E +7.58%K +16.00%G +2.31%7.3%2026-04-19 11:30
Bally Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -24.01%E -12.57%K -26.38%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +13.20%E +7.02%K +15.00%G +1.98%5.5%2026-04-19 11:39
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -24.40%E -12.84%K -27.11%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV +12.60%E +6.74%K +14.48%G +1.82%6.1%2026-04-19 11:40
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -25.60%E -13.69%K -29.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +12.60%E +6.74%K +14.48%G +1.82%7.0%2026-04-19 11:30
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV +1.76%E +1.04%K +2.55%G +0.045%4.6%2026-04-19 11:42
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -10.48%E -4.66%K -8.38%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.650%E -0.394%K -1.000%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 11:45
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -10.48%E -4.66%K -8.38%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.650%E -0.394%K -1.000%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 11:45
DraftKings2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -9.68%E -4.27%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -1.25%E -0.763%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 11:45
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.46%E -1.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 11:45
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.46%E -1.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 11:45
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -14.46%E -6.72%K -12.57%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -2.46%E -1.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 11:45
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.31%E -2.23%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 11:45
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.50%E -2.77%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 11:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 11:45
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 11:45
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 11:45
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 11:45
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 11:45
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -3.66%E -2.29%K -6.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 11:45
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -7.69%E -3.32%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -4.86%E -3.08%K -8.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 11:45
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -14.46%E -6.72%K -12.57%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -4.86%E -3.08%K -8.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 11:45
BetRivers2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -7.69%E -3.32%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.47%E -3.48%K -9.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 11:45
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -14.46%E -6.72%K -12.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -5.47%E -3.48%K -9.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 11:45
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.07%E -3.89%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 11:45
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -9.28%E -4.07%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -6.07%E -3.89%K -10.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 11:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -9.28%E -4.07%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -6.07%E -3.89%K -10.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 11:45
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +1.46%E +0.572%K +0.941%G +0.014%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-19 11:45
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +1.46%E +0.572%K +0.941%G +0.014%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-19 11:45
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +1.46%E +0.572%K +0.941%G +0.014%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-19 11:45
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +1.46%E +0.572%K +0.941%G +0.014%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-19 11:45
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +1.46%E +0.572%K +0.941%G +0.014%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-19 11:45
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 11:45
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.88%E -5.15%K -14.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 11:45
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -8.48%E -5.58%K -16.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 11:45
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.48%E -5.58%K -16.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 11:45
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.48%E -5.58%K -16.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 11:45
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.48%E -5.58%K -16.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 11:45
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -9.08%E -6.01%K -17.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 11:45
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -9.08%E -6.01%K -17.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 11:45
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -8.49%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -9.08%E -6.01%K -17.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 11:45
Pinnacle2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV +6.63%E +2.47%K +3.95%G +0.262%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -9.68%E -6.45%K -19.36%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 11:45
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.68%E -6.45%K -19.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 11:45
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.68%E -6.45%K -19.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 11:45
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -9.68%E -6.45%K -19.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 11:45
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV +4.24%E +1.62%K +2.62%G +0.111%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -12.69%E -8.75%K -28.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 11:44
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -12.69%E -8.75%K -28.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 11:45
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -13.29%E -9.23%K -30.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 11:45
Caesars2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV +15.38%E +5.30%K +8.10%G +1.25%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -16.91%E -12.25%K -44.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 11:44
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-04-19 11:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%0.7%2026-04-19 11:45
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%1.5%2026-04-19 11:45
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 37.71%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.29%3.6%2026-04-19 11:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%3.8%2026-04-19 11:45
Novig2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%6.5%2026-04-19 11:43