La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Flavio Cobolli v Ben Shelton
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Flavio Cobolli (Local)
Predicción 39.79%2.51momio equitativo
EV +15.38%
Ventaja +5.30%
Kelly +8.10%
Crecimiento +1.25%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.24%39.78%39.63%52.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.802.272.282.9055.56%44.04%43.86%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Ben Shelton (Visitante)
Predicción 60.21%1.66momio equitativo
EV +20.42%
Ventaja +10.21%
Kelly +20.42%
Crecimiento +4.17%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.37%60.22%60.37%67.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.381.631.582.0072.46%61.25%63.29%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -28.38%E -15.77%K -35.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +20.42%E +10.21%K +20.42%G +4.17% | 5.6% | 2026-04-19 11:30 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -28.38%E -15.77%K -35.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +20.42%E +10.21%K +20.42%G +4.17% | 5.6% | 2026-04-19 11:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -25.20%E -13.40%K -28.64%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV +15.61%E +8.13%K +16.96%G +2.65% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 11:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -26.39%E -14.27%K -31.05%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV +15.61%E +8.13%K +16.96%G +2.65% | 6.1% | 2026-04-19 11:35 |
| 1xBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -24.01%E -12.57%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +15.01%E +7.86%K +16.49%G +2.47% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -24.01%E -12.57%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +15.01%E +7.86%K +16.49%G +2.47% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 11:38 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -24.01%E -12.57%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +15.01%E +7.86%K +16.49%G +2.47% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 11:38 |
| Neds | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -27.19%E -14.86%K -32.76%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV +14.40%E +7.58%K +16.00%G +2.31% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -27.19%E -14.86%K -32.76%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV +14.40%E +7.58%K +16.00%G +2.31% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 11:30 |
| Bally Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -24.01%E -12.57%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +13.20%E +7.02%K +15.00%G +1.98% | 5.5% | 2026-04-19 11:39 |
| PlayUp | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -24.40%E -12.84%K -27.11%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV +12.60%E +6.74%K +14.48%G +1.82% | 6.1% | 2026-04-19 11:40 |
| BetUS | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -25.60%E -13.69%K -29.42%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +12.60%E +6.74%K +14.48%G +1.82% | 7.0% | 2026-04-19 11:30 |
| Bovada | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV +1.76%E +1.04%K +2.55%G +0.045% | 4.6% | 2026-04-19 11:42 |
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -10.48%E -4.66%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.650%E -0.394%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -10.48%E -4.66%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.650%E -0.394%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| DraftKings | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -9.68%E -4.27%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -1.25%E -0.763%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.46%E -1.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Sky Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.46%E -1.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -14.46%E -6.72%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -2.46%E -1.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| betPARX | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.31%E -2.23%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.50%E -2.77%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Betsson | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -3.66%E -2.29%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -7.69%E -3.32%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -4.86%E -3.08%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -14.46%E -6.72%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -4.86%E -3.08%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| BetRivers | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -7.69%E -3.32%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.47%E -3.48%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Fliff | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -14.46%E -6.72%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -5.47%E -3.48%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Casumo | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.07%E -3.89%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| LeoVegas | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -9.28%E -4.07%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -6.07%E -3.89%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -9.28%E -4.07%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -6.07%E -3.89%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Unibet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +1.46%E +0.572%K +0.941%G +0.014% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +1.46%E +0.572%K +0.941%G +0.014% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +1.46%E +0.572%K +0.941%G +0.014% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +1.46%E +0.572%K +0.941%G +0.014% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +1.46%E +0.572%K +0.941%G +0.014% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| FanDuel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.88%E -5.15%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -8.48%E -5.58%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.48%E -5.58%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.48%E -5.58%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| TAB | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.48%E -5.58%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -9.08%E -6.01%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -9.08%E -6.01%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -8.49%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -9.08%E -6.01%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Pinnacle | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV +6.63%E +2.47%K +3.95%G +0.262% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -9.68%E -6.45%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.68%E -6.45%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.68%E -6.45%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -9.68%E -6.45%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Bet Victor | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV +4.24%E +1.62%K +2.62%G +0.111% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -12.69%E -8.75%K -28.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 11:44 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -12.69%E -8.75%K -28.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -13.29%E -9.23%K -30.21%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Caesars | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV +15.38%E +5.30%K +8.10%G +1.25% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -16.91%E -12.25%K -44.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 11:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 0.6% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 0.7% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Matchbook | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 1.5% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Smarkets | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.71% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.29% | 3.6% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95% | 3.8% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Novig | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 11:43 |