La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Flavio Cobolli v Ben Shelton
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Flavio Cobolli (Casa)
Previsione 39.79%2.51quota equa
EV +15.38%
Vantaggio +5.30%
Kelly +8.10%
Crescita +1.25%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.90
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.24%39.78%39.63%52.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.802.272.282.9055.56%44.04%43.86%34.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Ben Shelton (Trasferta)
Previsione 60.21%1.66quota equa
EV +20.42%
Vantaggio +10.21%
Kelly +20.42%
Crescita +4.17%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.37%60.22%60.37%67.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.381.631.582.0072.46%61.25%63.29%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -28.38%E -15.77%K -35.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +20.42%E +10.21%K +20.42%G +4.17% | 5.6% | 2026-04-19 11:30 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -28.38%E -15.77%K -35.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +20.42%E +10.21%K +20.42%G +4.17% | 5.6% | 2026-04-19 11:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -25.20%E -13.40%K -28.64%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV +15.61%E +8.13%K +16.96%G +2.65% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 11:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -26.39%E -14.27%K -31.05%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV +15.61%E +8.13%K +16.96%G +2.65% | 6.1% | 2026-04-19 11:35 |
| 1xBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -24.01%E -12.57%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +15.01%E +7.86%K +16.49%G +2.47% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -24.01%E -12.57%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +15.01%E +7.86%K +16.49%G +2.47% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 11:38 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -24.01%E -12.57%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +15.01%E +7.86%K +16.49%G +2.47% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 11:38 |
| Neds | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -27.19%E -14.86%K -32.76%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV +14.40%E +7.58%K +16.00%G +2.31% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -27.19%E -14.86%K -32.76%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV +14.40%E +7.58%K +16.00%G +2.31% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 11:30 |
| Bally Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -24.01%E -12.57%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +13.20%E +7.02%K +15.00%G +1.98% | 5.5% | 2026-04-19 11:39 |
| PlayUp | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -24.40%E -12.84%K -27.11%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV +12.60%E +6.74%K +14.48%G +1.82% | 6.1% | 2026-04-19 11:40 |
| BetUS | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -25.60%E -13.69%K -29.42%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +12.60%E +6.74%K +14.48%G +1.82% | 7.0% | 2026-04-19 11:30 |
| Bovada | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV +1.76%E +1.04%K +2.55%G +0.045% | 4.6% | 2026-04-19 11:42 |
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -10.48%E -4.66%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.650%E -0.394%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -10.48%E -4.66%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.650%E -0.394%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| DraftKings | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -9.68%E -4.27%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -1.25%E -0.763%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.46%E -1.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Sky Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.46%E -1.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -14.46%E -6.72%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -2.46%E -1.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| betPARX | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.31%E -2.23%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.50%E -2.77%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Betsson | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -3.66%E -2.29%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -7.69%E -3.32%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -4.86%E -3.08%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -14.46%E -6.72%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -4.86%E -3.08%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| BetRivers | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -7.69%E -3.32%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.47%E -3.48%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Fliff | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -14.46%E -6.72%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -5.47%E -3.48%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Casumo | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.07%E -3.89%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| LeoVegas | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -9.28%E -4.07%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -6.07%E -3.89%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -9.28%E -4.07%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -6.07%E -3.89%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Unibet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +1.46%E +0.572%K +0.941%G +0.014% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +1.46%E +0.572%K +0.941%G +0.014% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +1.46%E +0.572%K +0.941%G +0.014% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +1.46%E +0.572%K +0.941%G +0.014% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +1.46%E +0.572%K +0.941%G +0.014% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| FanDuel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.88%E -5.15%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -8.48%E -5.58%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.48%E -5.58%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.48%E -5.58%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| TAB | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.48%E -5.58%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -9.08%E -6.01%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -9.08%E -6.01%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -8.49%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -9.08%E -6.01%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Pinnacle | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV +6.63%E +2.47%K +3.95%G +0.262% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -9.68%E -6.45%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.68%E -6.45%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.68%E -6.45%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -9.68%E -6.45%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Bet Victor | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV +4.24%E +1.62%K +2.62%G +0.111% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -12.69%E -8.75%K -28.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 11:44 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -0.531%E -0.212%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -12.69%E -8.75%K -28.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -13.29%E -9.23%K -30.21%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Caesars | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV +15.38%E +5.30%K +8.10%G +1.25% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -16.91%E -12.25%K -44.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 11:44 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 0.6% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 0.7% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Matchbook | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 1.5% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Smarkets | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.71% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.29% | 3.6% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95% | 3.8% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Novig | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 11:43 |