Школа коэффициентов

Denis Shapovalov v Alex Molcan

Начало: 2026-04-17 15:45 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

62 букмекерские конторы (22 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Denis Shapovalov (Хозяева)

Прогноз 56.63%1.77справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.93%
Преимущество +1.07%
Kelly +2.41%
Рост +0.047%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.80

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
52.63%56.76%56.26%59.63%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.511.671.671.8066.23%60.04%59.88%55.56%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Alex Molcan (Гости)

Прогноз 43.37%2.31справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.93%
Преимущество +0.819%
Kelly +1.43%
Рост +0.027%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.35

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
40.37%43.24%43.74%47.37%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.002.162.152.3550.00%46.32%46.51%42.55%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (62 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиМаржаОбновлено
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV +1.93%E +1.07%K +2.41%G +0.047%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -11.52%E -5.65%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 15:30
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +1.93%E +1.07%K +2.41%G +0.047%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -13.25%E -6.63%K -13.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 15:30
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -0.902%E -0.515%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -9.79%E -4.70%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 15:30
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -1.47%E -0.844%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -8.48%E -4.02%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-17 15:34
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -1.47%E -0.844%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -11.09%E -5.41%K -10.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 15:30
Bet Right1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -1.47%E -0.844%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -11.52%E -5.65%K -11.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 15:34
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -2.03%E -1.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -13.25%E -6.63%K -13.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 15:30
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.60%E -1.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -2.41%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-17 15:35
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.17%E -1.85%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 15:40
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.17%E -1.85%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 15:34
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.17%E -1.85%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 15:39
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 15:34
Codere (IT)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.05%E -3.80%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 15:40
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.05%E -3.80%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 15:30
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 15:39
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 15:34
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 15:39
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 15:34
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.09%E -5.41%K -10.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 15:39
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.09%E -5.41%K -10.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 15:39
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -4.30%E -2.54%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -2.85%E -1.27%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-17 15:37
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -4.30%E -2.54%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -2.85%E -1.27%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-17 15:37
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.30%E -2.54%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 15:39
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.30%E -2.54%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -6.32%E -2.92%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 15:38
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.30%E -2.54%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-17 15:39
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.87%E -2.90%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.88%E -2.71%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 15:39
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.87%E -2.90%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.88%E -2.71%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 15:39
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.87%E -2.90%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.88%E -2.71%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 15:39
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.87%E -2.90%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.88%E -2.71%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 15:39
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 15:34
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 15:39
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -7.18%E -3.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 15:39
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -7.18%E -3.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 15:39
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 15:39
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 15:29
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -6.00%E -3.61%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -8.05%E -3.80%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 15:39
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -6.00%E -3.61%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -8.05%E -3.80%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 15:39
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.243%E -0.106%K -0.187%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 15:39
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.41%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 15:32
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.41%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 15:39
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -8.05%E -3.80%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 15:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 15:34
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 15:34
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 15:39
DraftKings1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.13%E -4.35%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -1.11%E -0.487%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 15:39
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.13%E -4.35%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.41%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 15:39
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.13%E -4.35%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.41%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 15:39
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -7.13%E -4.35%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 15:39
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.26%E -5.10%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 15:39
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.26%E -5.10%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 15:39
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.26%E -5.10%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 15:37
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.83%E -5.48%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 15:40
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.83%E -5.48%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 15:40
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -9.40%E -5.87%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +1.93%E +0.819%K +1.43%G +0.027%5.1%2026-04-17 15:40
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.40%E -5.87%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.41%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 15:39
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -9.96%E -6.27%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -0.243%E -0.106%K -0.187%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 15:40
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -10.53%E -6.66%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 15:39
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -11.09%E -7.07%K -19.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 15:39
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -11.66%E -7.48%K -20.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -2.41%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 15:40
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -11.66%E -7.48%K -20.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-17 15:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -12.23%E -7.89%K -22.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -1.11%E -0.487%K -0.868%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 15:40
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 59.63%EV -14.49%E -9.60%K -28.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.37%EV -3.28%E -1.47%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-17 15:40
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-04-17 15:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-04-17 15:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-04-17 15:39
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%3.0%2026-04-17 15:40
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%3.9%2026-04-17 15:40
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%4.0%2026-04-17 15:39