A Escola das Odds

Denis Shapovalov v Alex Molcan

Início: 2026-04-17 15:45 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Denis Shapovalov (Local)

Previsão 56.63%1.77odd justa
EV +1.93%
Vantagem +1.07%
Kelly +2.41%
Crescimento +0.047%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.63%56.76%56.26%59.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.511.671.671.8066.23%60.04%59.88%55.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alex Molcan (Visitante)

Previsão 43.37%2.31odd justa
EV +1.93%
Vantagem +0.819%
Kelly +1.43%
Crescimento +0.027%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.37%43.24%43.74%47.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.162.152.3550.00%46.32%46.51%42.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV +1.93%E +1.07%K +2.41%G +0.047%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -11.52%E -5.65%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 15:30
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +1.93%E +1.07%K +2.41%G +0.047%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -13.25%E -6.63%K -13.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 15:30
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -0.902%E -0.515%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -9.79%E -4.70%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 15:30
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -1.47%E -0.844%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -8.48%E -4.02%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-17 15:34
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -1.47%E -0.844%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -11.09%E -5.41%K -10.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 15:30
Bet Right1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -1.47%E -0.844%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -11.52%E -5.65%K -11.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 15:34
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -2.03%E -1.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -13.25%E -6.63%K -13.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 15:30
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.60%E -1.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -2.41%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-17 15:35
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.17%E -1.85%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 15:40
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.17%E -1.85%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 15:34
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.17%E -1.85%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 15:39
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 15:34
Codere (IT)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.05%E -3.80%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 15:40
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.05%E -3.80%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 15:30
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 15:39
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 15:34
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 15:39
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 15:34
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.09%E -5.41%K -10.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 15:39
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.09%E -5.41%K -10.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 15:39
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -4.30%E -2.54%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -2.85%E -1.27%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-17 15:37
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -4.30%E -2.54%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -2.85%E -1.27%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-17 15:37
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.30%E -2.54%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 15:39
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.30%E -2.54%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -6.32%E -2.92%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 15:38
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.30%E -2.54%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-17 15:39
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.87%E -2.90%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.88%E -2.71%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 15:39
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.87%E -2.90%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.88%E -2.71%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 15:39
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.87%E -2.90%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.88%E -2.71%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 15:39
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.87%E -2.90%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.88%E -2.71%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 15:39
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 15:34
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 15:39
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -7.18%E -3.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 15:39
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -7.18%E -3.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 15:39
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 15:39
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 15:29
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -6.00%E -3.61%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -8.05%E -3.80%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 15:39
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -6.00%E -3.61%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -8.05%E -3.80%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 15:39
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.243%E -0.106%K -0.187%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 15:39
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.41%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 15:32
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.41%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 15:39
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -8.05%E -3.80%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 15:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 15:34
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 15:34
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 15:39
DraftKings1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.13%E -4.35%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -1.11%E -0.487%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 15:39
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.13%E -4.35%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.41%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 15:39
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.13%E -4.35%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.41%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 15:39
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -7.13%E -4.35%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 15:39
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.26%E -5.10%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 15:39
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.26%E -5.10%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 15:39
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.26%E -5.10%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 15:37
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.83%E -5.48%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 15:40
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.83%E -5.48%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 15:40
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -9.40%E -5.87%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +1.93%E +0.819%K +1.43%G +0.027%5.1%2026-04-17 15:40
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.40%E -5.87%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.41%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 15:39
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -9.96%E -6.27%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -0.243%E -0.106%K -0.187%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 15:40
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -10.53%E -6.66%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 15:39
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -11.09%E -7.07%K -19.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 15:39
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -11.66%E -7.48%K -20.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -2.41%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 15:40
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -11.66%E -7.48%K -20.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-17 15:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -12.23%E -7.89%K -22.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -1.11%E -0.487%K -0.868%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 15:40
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 59.63%EV -14.49%E -9.60%K -28.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.37%EV -3.28%E -1.47%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-17 15:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-04-17 15:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-04-17 15:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-04-17 15:39
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%3.0%2026-04-17 15:40
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%3.9%2026-04-17 15:40
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%4.0%2026-04-17 15:39