La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Denis Shapovalov v Alex Molcan
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Denis Shapovalov (Local)
Predicción 56.63%1.77momio equitativo
EV +1.93%
Ventaja +1.07%
Kelly +2.41%
Crecimiento +0.047%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.63%56.76%56.26%59.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.511.671.671.8066.23%60.04%59.88%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alex Molcan (Visitante)
Predicción 43.37%2.31momio equitativo
EV +1.93%
Ventaja +0.819%
Kelly +1.43%
Crecimiento +0.027%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.37%43.24%43.74%47.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.162.152.3550.00%46.32%46.51%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV +1.93%E +1.07%K +2.41%G +0.047% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -11.52%E -5.65%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +1.93%E +1.07%K +2.41%G +0.047% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -13.25%E -6.63%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -0.902%E -0.515%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -9.79%E -4.70%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -1.47%E -0.844%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -8.48%E -4.02%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-17 15:34 |
| BetUS | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -1.47%E -0.844%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -11.09%E -5.41%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Bet Right | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -1.47%E -0.844%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -11.52%E -5.65%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 15:34 |
| Sky Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -2.03%E -1.18%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -13.25%E -6.63%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.60%E -1.51%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -2.41%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-17 15:35 |
| FanDuel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.17%E -1.85%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 15:40 |
| ReBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.17%E -1.85%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 15:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.17%E -1.85%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Betway | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 15:34 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.05%E -3.80%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 15:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.05%E -3.80%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Betsson | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 15:34 |
| NordicBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 15:34 |
| 888sport | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.09%E -5.41%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.09%E -5.41%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -4.30%E -2.54%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -2.85%E -1.27%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-17 15:37 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -4.30%E -2.54%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -2.85%E -1.27%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-17 15:37 |
| Bovada | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.30%E -2.54%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.30%E -2.54%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -6.32%E -2.92%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-17 15:38 |
| Caesars | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.30%E -2.54%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.87%E -2.90%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.88%E -2.71%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.87%E -2.90%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.88%E -2.71%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| betPARX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.87%E -2.90%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.88%E -2.71%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.87%E -2.90%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.88%E -2.71%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Bally Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 15:34 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| BetRivers | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -7.18%E -3.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| TABtouch | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -7.18%E -3.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Coral | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 15:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -6.00%E -3.61%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -8.05%E -3.80%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Grosvenor | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -6.00%E -3.61%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -8.05%E -3.80%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Coolbet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.243%E -0.106%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.41%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 15:32 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.41%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -8.05%E -3.80%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-17 15:34 |
| Neds | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-17 15:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| DraftKings | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.13%E -4.35%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -1.11%E -0.487%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Casumo | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.13%E -4.35%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.41%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Unibet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.13%E -4.35%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.41%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| LeoVegas | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -7.13%E -4.35%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.26%E -5.10%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.26%E -5.10%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Everygame | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.26%E -5.10%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-17 15:37 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.83%E -5.48%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 15:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.83%E -5.48%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 15:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -9.40%E -5.87%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +1.93%E +0.819%K +1.43%G +0.027% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 15:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.40%E -5.87%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.41%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| theScore Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -9.96%E -6.27%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -0.243%E -0.106%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 15:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -10.53%E -6.66%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Fliff | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -11.09%E -7.07%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -11.66%E -7.48%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -2.41%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 15:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -11.66%E -7.48%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -12.23%E -7.89%K -22.23%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -1.11%E -0.487%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-17 15:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.63%EV -14.49%E -9.60%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.37%EV -3.28%E -1.47%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-17 15:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-04-17 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-04-17 15:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 0.7% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Matchbook | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50% | 3.0% | 2026-04-17 15:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25% | 3.9% | 2026-04-17 15:40 |
| Novig | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75% | 4.0% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |