Die Wettquotenschule

Denis Shapovalov v Alex Molcan

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-17 15:45 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

62 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Denis Shapovalov (Heim)

Prognose 56.63%1.77faire Quote
EV +1.93%
Vorteil +1.07%
Kelly +2.41%
Wachstum +0.047%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.80

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
52.63%56.76%56.26%59.63%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.511.671.671.8066.23%60.04%59.88%55.56%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Alex Molcan (Auswärts)

Prognose 43.37%2.31faire Quote
EV +1.93%
Vorteil +0.819%
Kelly +1.43%
Wachstum +0.027%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.35

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
40.37%43.24%43.74%47.37%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.002.162.152.3550.00%46.32%46.51%42.55%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (62 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV +1.93%E +1.07%K +2.41%G +0.047%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -11.52%E -5.65%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 15:30
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +1.93%E +1.07%K +2.41%G +0.047%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -13.25%E -6.63%K -13.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 15:30
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -0.902%E -0.515%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -9.79%E -4.70%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 15:30
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -1.47%E -0.844%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -8.48%E -4.02%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-17 15:34
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -1.47%E -0.844%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -11.09%E -5.41%K -10.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 15:30
Bet Right1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -1.47%E -0.844%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -11.52%E -5.65%K -11.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 15:34
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -2.03%E -1.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -13.25%E -6.63%K -13.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 15:30
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.60%E -1.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -2.41%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-17 15:35
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.17%E -1.85%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 15:40
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.17%E -1.85%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 15:34
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.17%E -1.85%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 15:39
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 15:34
Codere (IT)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.05%E -3.80%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 15:40
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.05%E -3.80%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 15:30
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 15:39
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 15:34
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 15:39
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 15:34
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.09%E -5.41%K -10.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 15:39
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.09%E -5.41%K -10.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 15:39
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -4.30%E -2.54%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -2.85%E -1.27%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-17 15:37
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -4.30%E -2.54%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -2.85%E -1.27%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-17 15:37
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.30%E -2.54%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 15:39
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.30%E -2.54%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -6.32%E -2.92%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 15:38
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.30%E -2.54%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-17 15:39
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.87%E -2.90%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.88%E -2.71%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 15:39
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.87%E -2.90%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.88%E -2.71%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 15:39
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.87%E -2.90%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.88%E -2.71%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 15:39
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.87%E -2.90%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.88%E -2.71%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 15:39
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 15:34
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 15:39
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -7.18%E -3.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 15:39
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -7.18%E -3.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 15:39
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 15:39
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 15:29
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -6.00%E -3.61%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -8.05%E -3.80%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 15:39
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -6.00%E -3.61%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -8.05%E -3.80%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 15:39
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.243%E -0.106%K -0.187%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 15:39
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.41%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 15:32
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.41%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 15:39
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -8.05%E -3.80%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 15:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 15:34
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 15:34
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 15:39
DraftKings1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.13%E -4.35%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -1.11%E -0.487%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 15:39
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.13%E -4.35%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.41%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 15:39
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.13%E -4.35%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.41%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 15:39
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -7.13%E -4.35%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 15:39
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.26%E -5.10%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 15:39
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.26%E -5.10%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 15:39
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.26%E -5.10%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 15:37
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.83%E -5.48%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 15:40
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.83%E -5.48%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 15:40
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -9.40%E -5.87%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +1.93%E +0.819%K +1.43%G +0.027%5.1%2026-04-17 15:40
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.40%E -5.87%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.41%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 15:39
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -9.96%E -6.27%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -0.243%E -0.106%K -0.187%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 15:40
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -10.53%E -6.66%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 15:39
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -11.09%E -7.07%K -19.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 15:39
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -11.66%E -7.48%K -20.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -2.41%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 15:40
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -11.66%E -7.48%K -20.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-17 15:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -12.23%E -7.89%K -22.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -1.11%E -0.487%K -0.868%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 15:40
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 59.63%EV -14.49%E -9.60%K -28.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.37%EV -3.28%E -1.47%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-17 15:40
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-04-17 15:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-04-17 15:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-04-17 15:39
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%3.0%2026-04-17 15:40
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%3.9%2026-04-17 15:40
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%4.0%2026-04-17 15:39