L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Denis Shapovalov v Alex Molcan
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Denis Shapovalov (Local)
Prévision 56.63%1.77cote équitable
EV +1.93%
Avantage +1.07%
Kelly +2.41%
Croissance +0.047%
avec la cote maximale 1.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.63%56.76%56.26%59.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.511.671.671.8066.23%60.04%59.88%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Alex Molcan (Visiteur)
Prévision 43.37%2.31cote équitable
EV +1.93%
Avantage +0.819%
Kelly +1.43%
Croissance +0.027%
avec la cote maximale 2.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.37%43.24%43.74%47.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.162.152.3550.00%46.32%46.51%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV +1.93%E +1.07%K +2.41%G +0.047% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -11.52%E -5.65%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +1.93%E +1.07%K +2.41%G +0.047% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -13.25%E -6.63%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -0.902%E -0.515%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -9.79%E -4.70%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -1.47%E -0.844%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -8.48%E -4.02%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-17 15:34 |
| BetUS | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -1.47%E -0.844%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -11.09%E -5.41%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Bet Right | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -1.47%E -0.844%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -11.52%E -5.65%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 15:34 |
| Sky Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -2.03%E -1.18%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -13.25%E -6.63%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.60%E -1.51%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -2.41%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-17 15:35 |
| FanDuel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.17%E -1.85%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 15:40 |
| ReBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.17%E -1.85%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 15:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.17%E -1.85%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Betway | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 15:34 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.05%E -3.80%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 15:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.05%E -3.80%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Betsson | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 15:34 |
| NordicBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 15:34 |
| 888sport | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.09%E -5.41%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.09%E -5.41%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -4.30%E -2.54%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -2.85%E -1.27%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-17 15:37 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -4.30%E -2.54%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -2.85%E -1.27%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-17 15:37 |
| Bovada | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.30%E -2.54%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.30%E -2.54%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -6.32%E -2.92%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-17 15:38 |
| Caesars | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.30%E -2.54%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.87%E -2.90%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.88%E -2.71%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.87%E -2.90%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.88%E -2.71%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| betPARX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.87%E -2.90%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.88%E -2.71%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.87%E -2.90%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.88%E -2.71%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Bally Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 15:34 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| BetRivers | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -7.18%E -3.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| TABtouch | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -7.18%E -3.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Coral | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 15:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -6.00%E -3.61%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -8.05%E -3.80%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Grosvenor | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -6.00%E -3.61%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -8.05%E -3.80%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Coolbet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.243%E -0.106%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.41%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 15:32 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.41%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -8.05%E -3.80%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-17 15:34 |
| Neds | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-17 15:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| DraftKings | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.13%E -4.35%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -1.11%E -0.487%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Casumo | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.13%E -4.35%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.41%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Unibet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.13%E -4.35%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.41%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| LeoVegas | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -7.13%E -4.35%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.26%E -5.10%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.26%E -5.10%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Everygame | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.26%E -5.10%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-17 15:37 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.83%E -5.48%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 15:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.83%E -5.48%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 15:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -9.40%E -5.87%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +1.93%E +0.819%K +1.43%G +0.027% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 15:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.40%E -5.87%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.41%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| theScore Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -9.96%E -6.27%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -0.243%E -0.106%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 15:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -10.53%E -6.66%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Fliff | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -11.09%E -7.07%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -11.66%E -7.48%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -2.41%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 15:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -11.66%E -7.48%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -12.23%E -7.89%K -22.23%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -1.11%E -0.487%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-17 15:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.63%EV -14.49%E -9.60%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.37%EV -3.28%E -1.47%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-17 15:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-04-17 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-04-17 15:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 0.7% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Matchbook | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50% | 3.0% | 2026-04-17 15:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25% | 3.9% | 2026-04-17 15:40 |
| Novig | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75% | 4.0% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |