Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Denis Shapovalov v Alex Molcan
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Denis Shapovalov (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 56.63%1.77kurs godziwy
EV +1.93%
Przewaga +1.07%
Kelly +2.41%
Wzrost +0.047%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.80
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
52.63%56.76%56.26%59.63%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.511.671.671.8066.23%60.04%59.88%55.56%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Alex Molcan (Goście)
Prognoza 43.37%2.31kurs godziwy
EV +1.93%
Przewaga +0.819%
Kelly +1.43%
Wzrost +0.027%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.35
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
40.37%43.24%43.74%47.37%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.002.162.152.3550.00%46.32%46.51%42.55%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (62 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV +1.93%E +1.07%K +2.41%G +0.047% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -11.52%E -5.65%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +1.93%E +1.07%K +2.41%G +0.047% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -13.25%E -6.63%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -0.902%E -0.515%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -9.79%E -4.70%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -1.47%E -0.844%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -8.48%E -4.02%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-17 15:34 |
| BetUS | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -1.47%E -0.844%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -11.09%E -5.41%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Bet Right | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -1.47%E -0.844%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -11.52%E -5.65%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 15:34 |
| Sky Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -2.03%E -1.18%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -13.25%E -6.63%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.60%E -1.51%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -2.41%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-17 15:35 |
| FanDuel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.17%E -1.85%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 15:40 |
| ReBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.17%E -1.85%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 15:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.17%E -1.85%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Betway | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 15:34 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.05%E -3.80%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 15:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.05%E -3.80%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Betsson | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 15:34 |
| NordicBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 15:34 |
| 888sport | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.09%E -5.41%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.09%E -5.41%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -4.30%E -2.54%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -2.85%E -1.27%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-17 15:37 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -4.30%E -2.54%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -2.85%E -1.27%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-17 15:37 |
| Bovada | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.30%E -2.54%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.30%E -2.54%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -6.32%E -2.92%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-17 15:38 |
| Caesars | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.30%E -2.54%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.87%E -2.90%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.88%E -2.71%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.87%E -2.90%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.88%E -2.71%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| betPARX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.87%E -2.90%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.88%E -2.71%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.87%E -2.90%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.88%E -2.71%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Bally Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 15:34 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| BetRivers | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -7.18%E -3.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| TABtouch | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -7.18%E -3.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Coral | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 15:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -6.00%E -3.61%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -8.05%E -3.80%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Grosvenor | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -6.00%E -3.61%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -8.05%E -3.80%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Coolbet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.243%E -0.106%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.41%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 15:32 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.41%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -8.05%E -3.80%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-17 15:34 |
| Neds | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-17 15:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| DraftKings | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.13%E -4.35%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -1.11%E -0.487%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Casumo | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.13%E -4.35%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.41%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Unibet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.13%E -4.35%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.41%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| LeoVegas | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -7.13%E -4.35%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.26%E -5.10%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.26%E -5.10%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Everygame | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.26%E -5.10%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-17 15:37 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.83%E -5.48%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 15:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.83%E -5.48%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 15:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -9.40%E -5.87%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +1.93%E +0.819%K +1.43%G +0.027% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 15:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.40%E -5.87%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.41%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| theScore Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -9.96%E -6.27%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -0.243%E -0.106%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 15:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -10.53%E -6.66%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Fliff | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -11.09%E -7.07%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -11.66%E -7.48%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -2.41%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 15:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -11.66%E -7.48%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -12.23%E -7.89%K -22.23%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -1.11%E -0.487%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-17 15:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.63%EV -14.49%E -9.60%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.37%EV -3.28%E -1.47%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-17 15:40 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-04-17 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-04-17 15:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 0.7% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Matchbook | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50% | 3.0% | 2026-04-17 15:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25% | 3.9% | 2026-04-17 15:40 |
| Novig | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75% | 4.0% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |