Language:English
Alexander Zverev v Flavio Cobolli
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alexander Zverev (Local)
Prediction 80.38%1.24fair odd
EV +0.469%
Edge +0.375%
Kelly +1.88%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 1.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.85%80.33%80.40%83.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.181.181.2589.29%84.75%84.75%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Flavio Cobolli (Visit)
Prediction 19.62%5.10fair odd
EV +7.94%
Edge +1.44%
Kelly +1.76%
Growth +0.140%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.92%19.67%19.60%21.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.774.755.5022.73%20.97%21.05%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexander Zverev (Local): 80.38%; Flavio Cobolli (Visit): 19.62%. For Flavio Cobolli (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.10. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.94%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -9.98%E -8.91%K -83.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +7.94%E +1.44%K +1.76%G +0.140% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 11:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.54%EV -3.55%E -2.96%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46%EV +4.01%E +0.757%K +0.933%G +0.037% | 2.2% | 2026-04-18 11:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV +2.05%E +0.394%K +0.488%G +0.010% | 3.3% | 2026-04-18 06:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV +1.07%E +0.207%K +0.257%G +0.003% | 4.2% | 2026-04-18 06:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV +1.07%E +0.207%K +0.257%G +0.003% | 4.2% | 2026-04-18 06:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.085%E +0.017%K +0.021%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -1.88%E -0.375%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-18 06:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.88%E -0.375%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-18 00:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.88%E -0.375%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-18 03:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.88%E -0.375%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-18 04:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.37%E -7.34%K -59.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.88%E -0.375%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.37%E -7.34%K -59.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.88%E -0.375%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.37%E -7.34%K -59.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.88%E -0.375%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -2.86%E -0.577%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-17 16:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -3.84%E -0.784%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-18 08:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.84%E -0.784%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-18 10:01 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.84%E -0.784%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -8.37%E -7.34%K -59.80%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -3.84%E -0.784%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-17 19:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -4.82%E -0.994%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.80%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 00:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.80%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 00:36 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.80%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 00:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.80%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 00:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.76%E -5.83%K -42.28%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -5.80%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.55%E -2.96%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-18 11:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 07:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 07:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 07:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 07:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 07:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 07:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 07:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 07:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 07:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 07:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 07:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 07:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 07:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 07:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 16:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%EV +0.469%E +0.375%K +1.88%G +0.009% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%EV -7.76%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.3% | 2026-04-17 15:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -7.76%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 11:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -7.76%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 06:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -8.75%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-17 23:31 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -9.73%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 17:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -9.73%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 20:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -9.73%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 07:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -9.73%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 07:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.76%E -5.83%K -42.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -9.73%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 03:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.55%E -2.96%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.69%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 14:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.55%E -2.96%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.69%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 14:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.55%E -2.96%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.69%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 22:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.55%E -2.96%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.69%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 22:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.69%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 19:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.69%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.69%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 20:01 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.69%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 10:28 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -6.76%E -5.83%K -42.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -11.69%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 05:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.65%E -3.10%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 20:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.65%E -3.10%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 20:01 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.65%E -3.10%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 17:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.65%E -3.10%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 21:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 0.6% | 2026-04-18 11:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-04-18 11:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-04-18 11:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-04-18 11:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27% | 1.6% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.27% | 5.52I 18.12%NM 17.73% | 2.1% | 2026-04-18 11:10 |