La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Alexander Zverev v Flavio Cobolli
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alexander Zverev (Local)
Predicción 80.38%1.24momio equitativo
EV +0.469%
Ventaja +0.375%
Kelly +1.88%
Crecimiento +0.009%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
78.85%80.33%80.40%83.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.121.181.181.2589.29%84.75%84.75%80.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Flavio Cobolli (Visitante)
Predicción 19.62%5.10momio equitativo
EV +7.94%
Ventaja +1.44%
Kelly +1.76%
Crecimiento +0.140%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.92%19.67%19.60%21.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.404.774.755.5022.73%20.97%21.05%18.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -9.98%E -8.91%K -83.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +7.94%E +1.44%K +1.76%G +0.140% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 11:10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.54%EV -3.55%E -2.96%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46%EV +4.01%E +0.757%K +0.933%G +0.037% | 2.2% | 2026-04-18 11:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV +2.05%E +0.394%K +0.488%G +0.010% | 3.3% | 2026-04-18 06:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV +1.07%E +0.207%K +0.257%G +0.003% | 4.2% | 2026-04-18 06:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV +1.07%E +0.207%K +0.257%G +0.003% | 4.2% | 2026-04-18 06:35 |
| FanDuel | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.085%E +0.017%K +0.021%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -1.88%E -0.375%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-18 06:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.88%E -0.375%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-18 00:35 |
| Bovada | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.88%E -0.375%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-18 03:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.88%E -0.375%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-18 04:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.37%E -7.34%K -59.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.88%E -0.375%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.37%E -7.34%K -59.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.88%E -0.375%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.37%E -7.34%K -59.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.88%E -0.375%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -2.86%E -0.577%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-17 16:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -3.84%E -0.784%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-18 08:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.84%E -0.784%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-18 10:01 |
| ReBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.84%E -0.784%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -8.37%E -7.34%K -59.80%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -3.84%E -0.784%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-17 19:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -4.82%E -0.994%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.80%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 00:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.80%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 00:36 |
| Betsson | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.80%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 00:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.80%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 00:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.76%E -5.83%K -42.28%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -5.80%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.55%E -2.96%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-18 11:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 07:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 07:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 07:19 |
| Casumo | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 07:20 |
| Unibet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 07:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 07:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 07:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 07:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 07:20 |
| betPARX | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 07:20 |
| Bally Bet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 07:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 07:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 07:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 07:19 |
| Betway | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| BetUS | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 16:49 |
| Fliff | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| GTbets | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%EV +0.469%E +0.375%K +1.88%G +0.009% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%EV -7.76%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.3% | 2026-04-17 15:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -7.76%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 11:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -7.76%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 06:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -8.75%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-17 23:31 |
| PlayUp | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -9.73%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 17:39 |
| BetMGM | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -9.73%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 20:01 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -9.73%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 07:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -9.73%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 07:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.76%E -5.83%K -42.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -9.73%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 03:15 |
| 888sport | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.55%E -2.96%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.69%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 14:20 |
| William Hill | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.55%E -2.96%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.69%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 14:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.55%E -2.96%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.69%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 22:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.55%E -2.96%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.69%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 22:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.69%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 19:24 |
| Coral | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.69%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.69%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 20:01 |
| Bet Victor | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.69%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 10:28 |
| Everygame | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -6.76%E -5.83%K -42.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -11.69%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 05:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.65%E -3.10%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 20:00 |
| Neds | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.65%E -3.10%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 20:01 |
| Caesars | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.65%E -3.10%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 17:30 |
| TAB | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.65%E -3.10%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 21:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 0.6% | 2026-04-18 11:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-04-18 11:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-04-18 11:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-04-18 11:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27% | 1.6% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Novig | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.27% | 5.52I 18.12%NM 17.73% | 2.1% | 2026-04-18 11:10 |