Szkoła Kursów

Alexander Zverev v Flavio Cobolli

Początek: 2026-04-18 11:30 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

64 bukmacherów (23 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Alexander Zverev (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 80.38%1.24kurs godziwy
EV +0.469%
Przewaga +0.375%
Kelly +1.88%
Wzrost +0.009%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.25

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
78.85%80.33%80.40%83.08%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.121.181.181.2589.29%84.75%84.75%80.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Flavio Cobolli (Goście)

Prognoza 19.62%5.10kurs godziwy
EV +7.94%
Przewaga +1.44%
Kelly +1.76%
Wzrost +0.140%

przy maksymalnym kursie 5.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
16.92%19.67%19.60%21.15%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.404.774.755.5022.73%20.97%21.05%18.18%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Bet Right1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -9.98%E -8.91%K -83.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +7.94%E +1.44%K +1.76%G +0.140%7.5%2026-04-18 11:10
Pinnacle1.20I 83.33%NM 81.54%EV -3.55%E -2.96%K -17.75%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46%EV +4.01%E +0.757%K +0.933%G +0.037%2.2%2026-04-18 11:10
Winamax (DE)1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV +2.05%E +0.394%K +0.488%G +0.010%3.3%2026-04-18 06:30
LowVig.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV +1.07%E +0.207%K +0.257%G +0.003%4.2%2026-04-18 06:35
BetOnline.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV +1.07%E +0.207%K +0.257%G +0.003%4.2%2026-04-18 06:35
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.085%E +0.017%K +0.021%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 10:30
Betclic (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -1.88%E -0.375%K -0.469%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 06:59
Fanatics1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.88%E -0.375%K -0.469%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 00:35
Bovada1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.88%E -0.375%K -0.469%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 03:45
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.88%E -0.375%K -0.469%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 04:50
Sky Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.37%E -7.34%K -59.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.88%E -0.375%K -0.469%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 10:30
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.37%E -7.34%K -59.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.88%E -0.375%K -0.469%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 10:30
NetBet (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.37%E -7.34%K -59.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.88%E -0.375%K -0.469%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 10:50
DraftKings1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -2.86%E -0.577%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-17 16:45
Unibet (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -3.84%E -0.784%K -0.984%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-18 08:00
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.84%E -0.784%K -0.984%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 10:01
ReBet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.84%E -0.784%K -0.984%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 10:50
Tipico (DE)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -8.37%E -7.34%K -59.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -3.84%E -0.784%K -0.984%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-17 19:25
Betr (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -4.82%E -0.994%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 10:50
NordicBet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.80%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 00:35
Unibet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.80%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 00:36
Betsson1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.80%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 00:35
Codere (IT)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.80%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 00:40
SportsBet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.76%E -5.83%K -42.28%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -5.80%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 10:30
1xBet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.55%E -2.96%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-18 11:10
BetRivers1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 07:20
LeoVegas1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 07:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 07:19
Casumo1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 07:20
Unibet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 07:20
TABtouch1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 07:20
Grosvenor1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 07:20
Unibet (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 07:20
Unibet (NL)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 07:20
betPARX1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 07:20
Bally Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 07:20
Svenska Spel1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 07:20
ATG (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 07:20
Hard Rock Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 07:19
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 11:00
BetUS1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 16:49
Fliff1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 10:30
GTbets1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%EV +0.469%E +0.375%K +1.88%G +0.009%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%EV -7.76%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.3%2026-04-17 15:50
Marathon Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -7.76%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 11:10
Winamax (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -7.76%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 06:30
theScore Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -8.75%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 23:31
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -9.73%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 17:39
BetMGM1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -9.73%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 20:01
LiveScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -9.73%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 07:20
Virgin Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -9.73%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 07:20
PMU (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.76%E -5.83%K -42.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -9.73%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 03:15
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.55%E -2.96%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.69%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 14:20
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.55%E -2.96%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.69%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 14:19
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.55%E -2.96%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.69%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 22:20
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.55%E -2.96%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.69%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 22:20
PointsBet (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.69%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 19:24
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.69%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 20:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.69%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 20:01
Bet Victor1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.69%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 10:28
Everygame1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -6.76%E -5.83%K -42.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -11.69%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 05:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.65%E -3.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 20:00
Neds1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.65%E -3.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 20:01
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.65%E -3.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 17:30
TAB1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.65%E -3.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 21:24
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%0.6%2026-04-18 11:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-04-18 11:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-04-18 11:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-04-18 11:10
Smarkets1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27%1.6%2026-04-18 10:50
Novig1.19I 84.03%NM 82.27%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.73%2.1%2026-04-18 11:10