默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Alexander Zverev v Flavio Cobolli

开赛时间: 2026-04-18 11:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

64 家博彩公司 (23 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Alexander Zverev (主队)

预测 80.38%1.24公平赔率
EV +0.469%
优势 +0.375%
Kelly +1.88%
增长率 +0.009%

假设最高赔率为 1.25

博彩公司预测分布
78.85%80.33%80.40%83.08%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.121.181.181.2589.29%84.75%84.75%80.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

Flavio Cobolli (客队)

预测 19.62%5.10公平赔率
EV +7.94%
优势 +1.44%
Kelly +1.76%
增长率 +0.140%

假设最高赔率为 5.50

博彩公司预测分布
16.92%19.67%19.60%21.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.404.774.755.5022.73%20.97%21.05%18.18%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Alexander Zverev (主队):80.38%;Flavio Cobolli (客队):19.62%。 对于“Flavio Cobolli (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.10。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为5.50,对应+7.94%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Bet Right🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -9.98%E -8.91%K -83.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +7.94%E +1.44%K +1.76%G +0.140%7.5%2026-04-18 11:10
Pinnacle🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 81.54%EV -3.55%E -2.96%K -17.75%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46%EV +4.01%E +0.757%K +0.933%G +0.037%2.2%2026-04-18 11:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV +2.05%E +0.394%K +0.488%G +0.010%3.3%2026-04-18 06:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV +1.07%E +0.207%K +0.257%G +0.003%4.2%2026-04-18 06:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV +1.07%E +0.207%K +0.257%G +0.003%4.2%2026-04-18 06:35
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.085%E +0.017%K +0.021%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 10:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -1.88%E -0.375%K -0.469%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 06:59
Fanatics🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.88%E -0.375%K -0.469%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 00:35
Bovada🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.88%E -0.375%K -0.469%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 03:45
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.88%E -0.375%K -0.469%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 04:50
Sky Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.37%E -7.34%K -59.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.88%E -0.375%K -0.469%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 10:30
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.37%E -7.34%K -59.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.88%E -0.375%K -0.469%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 10:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.37%E -7.34%K -59.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.88%E -0.375%K -0.469%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 10:50
DraftKings🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -2.86%E -0.577%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-17 16:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -3.84%E -0.784%K -0.984%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-18 08:00
Coolbet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.84%E -0.784%K -0.984%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 10:01
ReBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.84%E -0.784%K -0.984%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 10:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -8.37%E -7.34%K -59.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -3.84%E -0.784%K -0.984%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-17 19:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -4.82%E -0.994%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 10:50
NordicBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.80%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 00:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.80%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 00:36
Betsson🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.80%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 00:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.80%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 00:40
SportsBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.76%E -5.83%K -42.28%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -5.80%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 10:30
1xBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.55%E -2.96%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-18 11:10
BetRivers🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 07:20
LeoVegas🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 07:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 07:19
Casumo🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 07:20
Unibet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 07:20
TABtouch🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 07:20
Grosvenor🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 07:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 07:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 07:20
betPARX🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 07:20
Bally Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 07:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 07:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 07:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 07:19
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 11:00
BetUS🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 16:49
Fliff🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 10:30
GTbets🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%EV +0.469%E +0.375%K +1.88%G +0.009%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%EV -7.76%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.3%2026-04-17 15:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -7.76%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 11:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -7.76%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 06:30
theScore Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -8.75%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 23:31
PlayUp🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -9.73%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 17:39
BetMGM🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -9.73%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 20:01
LiveScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -9.73%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 07:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -9.73%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 07:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.76%E -5.83%K -42.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -9.73%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 03:15
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.55%E -2.96%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.69%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 14:20
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.55%E -2.96%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.69%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 14:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.55%E -2.96%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.69%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 22:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.55%E -2.96%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.69%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 22:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.69%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 19:24
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.69%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 20:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.69%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 20:01
Bet Victor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.69%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 10:28
Everygame🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -6.76%E -5.83%K -42.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -11.69%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 05:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.65%E -3.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 20:00
Neds🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.65%E -3.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 20:01
Caesars🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.65%E -3.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 17:30
TAB🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.65%E -3.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 21:24
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%0.6%2026-04-18 11:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-04-18 11:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-04-18 11:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-04-18 11:10
Smarkets1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27%1.6%2026-04-18 10:50
Novig1.19I 84.03%NM 82.27%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.73%2.1%2026-04-18 11:10