مدرسة الاحتمالات

Alexander Zverev v Flavio Cobolli

البداية: 2026-04-18 11:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (23 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Alexander Zverev (المضيف)

التنبؤ 80.38%1.24السعر العادل
EV +0.469%
الأفضلية +0.375%
Kelly +1.88%
النمو +0.009%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
78.85%80.33%80.40%83.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.121.181.181.2589.29%84.75%84.75%80.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Flavio Cobolli (الضيف)

التنبؤ 19.62%5.10السعر العادل
EV +7.94%
الأفضلية +1.44%
Kelly +1.76%
النمو +0.140%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.92%19.67%19.60%21.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.404.774.755.5022.73%20.97%21.05%18.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Bet Right1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -9.98%E -8.91%K -83.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +7.94%E +1.44%K +1.76%G +0.140%7.5%2026-04-18 11:10
Pinnacle1.20I 83.33%NM 81.54%EV -3.55%E -2.96%K -17.75%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46%EV +4.01%E +0.757%K +0.933%G +0.037%2.2%2026-04-18 11:10
Winamax (DE)1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV +2.05%E +0.394%K +0.488%G +0.010%3.3%2026-04-18 06:30
LowVig.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV +1.07%E +0.207%K +0.257%G +0.003%4.2%2026-04-18 06:35
BetOnline.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV +1.07%E +0.207%K +0.257%G +0.003%4.2%2026-04-18 06:35
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.085%E +0.017%K +0.021%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 10:30
Betclic (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -1.88%E -0.375%K -0.469%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 06:59
Fanatics1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.88%E -0.375%K -0.469%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 00:35
Bovada1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.88%E -0.375%K -0.469%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 03:45
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.88%E -0.375%K -0.469%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 04:50
Sky Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.37%E -7.34%K -59.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.88%E -0.375%K -0.469%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 10:30
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.37%E -7.34%K -59.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.88%E -0.375%K -0.469%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 10:30
NetBet (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.37%E -7.34%K -59.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.88%E -0.375%K -0.469%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 10:50
DraftKings1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -2.86%E -0.577%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-17 16:45
Unibet (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -3.84%E -0.784%K -0.984%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-18 08:00
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.84%E -0.784%K -0.984%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 10:01
ReBet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.84%E -0.784%K -0.984%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 10:50
Tipico (DE)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -8.37%E -7.34%K -59.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -3.84%E -0.784%K -0.984%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-17 19:25
Betr (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -4.82%E -0.994%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 10:50
NordicBet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.80%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 00:35
Unibet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.80%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 00:36
Betsson1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.80%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 00:35
Codere (IT)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.80%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 00:40
SportsBet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.76%E -5.83%K -42.28%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -5.80%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 10:30
1xBet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.55%E -2.96%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-18 11:10
BetRivers1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 07:20
LeoVegas1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 07:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 07:19
Casumo1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 07:20
Unibet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 07:20
TABtouch1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 07:20
Grosvenor1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 07:20
Unibet (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 07:20
Unibet (NL)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 07:20
betPARX1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 07:20
Bally Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 07:20
Svenska Spel1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 07:20
ATG (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 07:20
Hard Rock Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 07:19
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 11:00
BetUS1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 16:49
Fliff1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -6.78%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 10:30
GTbets1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%EV +0.469%E +0.375%K +1.88%G +0.009%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%EV -7.76%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.3%2026-04-17 15:50
Marathon Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -7.76%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 11:10
Winamax (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -7.76%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 06:30
theScore Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -8.75%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 23:31
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -9.73%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 17:39
BetMGM1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.35%E -3.66%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -9.73%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 20:01
LiveScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -9.73%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 07:20
Virgin Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -9.73%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 07:20
PMU (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.76%E -5.83%K -42.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -9.73%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 03:15
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.55%E -2.96%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.69%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 14:20
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.55%E -2.96%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.69%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 14:19
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.55%E -2.96%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.69%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 22:20
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.55%E -2.96%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.69%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 22:20
PointsBet (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.69%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 19:24
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.69%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 20:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.69%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 20:01
Bet Victor1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.96%E -5.09%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.69%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 10:28
Everygame1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -6.76%E -5.83%K -42.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -11.69%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 05:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.65%E -3.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 20:00
Neds1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.65%E -3.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 20:01
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.65%E -3.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 17:30
TAB1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.65%E -3.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 21:24
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%0.6%2026-04-18 11:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-04-18 11:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-04-18 11:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-04-18 11:10
Smarkets1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27%1.6%2026-04-18 10:50
Novig1.19I 84.03%NM 82.27%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.73%2.1%2026-04-18 11:10