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Alex Molcan v Ben Shelton
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Alex Molcan (Хозяева)
Прогноз 30.02%3.33справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.85%
Преимущество +1.11%
Kelly +1.57%
Рост +0.060%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.46
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.12%29.93%30.23%32.24%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.903.153.153.4634.48%31.70%31.75%28.90%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ben Shelton (Гости)
Прогноз 69.98%1.43справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.02%
Преимущество -1.44%
Kelly -5.05%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.40
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
67.76%70.07%69.77%71.88%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.301.351.351.4076.92%74.04%74.07%71.43%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Alex Molcan (Хозяева): 30.02%; Ben Shelton (Гости): 69.98%. Для исхода «Alex Molcan (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.33. 4 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.46, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +3.85%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (62 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.46I 28.90%NM 28.22%EV +3.85%E +1.11%K +1.57%G +0.060% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.78%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +2.05%E +0.604%K +0.855%G +0.018% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV +0.552%E +0.165%K +0.235%G +0.001% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-18 06:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV +0.552%E +0.165%K +0.235%G +0.001% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-18 12:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.949%E -0.287%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-18 12:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.45%E -0.754%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.45%E -0.754%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.45%E -0.754%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.45%E -0.754%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -8.32%E -6.35%K -26.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 12:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.37%EV -3.65%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.63%EV -2.02%E -1.44%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 05:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.02%E -6.94%K -30.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 09:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.02%E -6.94%K -30.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 12:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -4.55%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV -4.85%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.67%EV -3.42%E -2.48%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-18 11:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.12%E -3.01%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-18 12:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 09:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:31 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 06:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -6.35%E -2.04%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.04%EV -6.35%E -2.04%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.96%EV -6.22%E -4.64%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 12:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.42%E -2.48%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-18 12:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 07:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 06:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 09:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 09:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 09:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 09:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.22%E -4.64%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 09:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.62%E -5.77%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.45%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 12:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.02%E -1.44%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 04:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 11:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 06:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 06:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 06:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 06:01 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 11:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -12.95%E -4.47%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.42%E -2.48%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 20:20 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-04-18 12:45 |
| Novig◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73% | 2.5% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |