Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Alex Molcan v Ben Shelton

Inizio: 2026-04-18 13:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

62 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Alex Molcan (Casa)

Previsione 30.02%3.33quota equa
EV +3.85%
Vantaggio +1.11%
Kelly +1.57%
Crescita +0.060%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.46

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.12%29.93%30.23%32.24%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.153.153.4634.48%31.70%31.75%28.90%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Ben Shelton (Trasferta)

Previsione 69.98%1.43quota equa
EV -2.02%
Vantaggio -1.44%
Kelly -5.05%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
67.76%70.07%69.77%71.88%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.301.351.351.4076.92%74.04%74.07%71.43%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Alex Molcan (Casa): 30.02%; Ben Shelton (Trasferta): 69.98%. Per Alex Molcan (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.33. 4 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.46, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.85%.

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯3.46I 28.90%NM 28.22%EV +3.85%E +1.11%K +1.57%G +0.060%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.78%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-18 12:50
DraftKings🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +2.05%E +0.604%K +0.855%G +0.018%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 12:50
Winamax (DE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV +0.552%E +0.165%K +0.235%G +0.001%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-18 06:30
Betclic (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV +0.552%E +0.165%K +0.235%G +0.001%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 12:49
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.949%E -0.287%K -0.412%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 12:44
LowVig.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.45%E -0.754%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 11:30
BetOnline.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.45%E -0.754%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 11:30
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.45%E -0.754%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 12:50
NetBet (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.45%E -0.754%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -8.32%E -6.35%K -26.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 12:49
GTbets🎯3.21I 31.15%NM 30.37%EV -3.65%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.63%EV -2.02%E -1.44%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-18 12:01
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 05:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 12:01
Bet Right🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:45
Casumo🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:01
TABtouch🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:01
BetRivers🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:01
Unibet (NL)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:01
Unibet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:01
Svenska Spel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:01
betPARX🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:00
Bally Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:01
Grosvenor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:01
LeoVegas🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:01
Unibet (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:01
ATG (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:01
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.02%E -6.94%K -30.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 09:24
Everygame🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.02%E -6.94%K -30.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 12:49
Coolbet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -4.55%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 10:49
1xBet🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV -4.85%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.67%EV -3.42%E -2.48%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 11:45
FanDuel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.12%E -3.01%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 12:49
Fanatics🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 09:10
ReBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:31
Betr (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 11:30
Winamax (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 06:30
Virgin Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 12:01
LiveScore Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 12:01
Marathon Bet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -6.35%E -2.04%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 12:01
SportsBet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.04%EV -6.35%E -2.04%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.96%EV -6.22%E -4.64%K -18.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 12:49
BetUS🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.42%E -2.48%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 12:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 07:20
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 06:00
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 09:25
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 11:30
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 11:30
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 11:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 11:30
Codere (IT)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 09:10
Betsson🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 09:10
NordicBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 09:10
Fliff🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.22%E -4.64%K -18.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 09:25
PMU (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.62%E -5.77%K -23.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 12:01
Unibet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.45%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 12:49
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.02%E -1.44%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 04:50
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 11:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 06:00
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 06:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 06:00
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 06:01
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 11:59
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 12:50
Caesars🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -12.95%E -4.47%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.42%E -2.48%K -9.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 20:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-04-18 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-04-18 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-04-18 12:50
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-04-18 12:45
Novig3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-04-18 12:50
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%2.5%2026-04-18 12:50