La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Alex Molcan v Ben Shelton
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alex Molcan (Local)
Predicción 30.02%3.33momio equitativo
EV +3.85%
Ventaja +1.11%
Kelly +1.57%
Crecimiento +0.060%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.46
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.12%29.93%30.23%32.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.153.153.4634.48%31.70%31.75%28.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Ben Shelton (Visitante)
Predicción 69.98%1.43momio equitativo
EV -2.02%
Ventaja -1.44%
Kelly -5.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.76%70.07%69.77%71.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.351.351.4076.92%74.04%74.07%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.46I 28.90%NM 28.22%EV +3.85%E +1.11%K +1.57%G +0.060% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.78%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| DraftKings | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +2.05%E +0.604%K +0.855%G +0.018% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV +0.552%E +0.165%K +0.235%G +0.001% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-18 06:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV +0.552%E +0.165%K +0.235%G +0.001% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-18 12:49 |
| Betway | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.949%E -0.287%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-18 12:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.45%E -0.754%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.45%E -0.754%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| PlayUp | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.45%E -0.754%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.45%E -0.754%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -8.32%E -6.35%K -26.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 12:49 |
| GTbets | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.37%EV -3.65%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.63%EV -2.02%E -1.44%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| Bovada | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 05:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| Bet Right | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:45 |
| Casumo | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| TABtouch | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| BetRivers | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| Unibet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| betPARX | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:00 |
| Bally Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| Grosvenor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| LeoVegas | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.02%E -6.94%K -30.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 09:24 |
| Everygame | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.02%E -6.94%K -30.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 12:49 |
| Coolbet | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -4.55%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| 1xBet | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV -4.85%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.67%EV -3.42%E -2.48%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-18 11:45 |
| FanDuel | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.12%E -3.01%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-18 12:49 |
| Fanatics | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 09:10 |
| ReBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:31 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 06:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -6.35%E -2.04%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| SportsBet | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.04%EV -6.35%E -2.04%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.96%EV -6.22%E -4.64%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 12:49 |
| BetUS | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.42%E -2.48%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-18 12:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 07:20 |
| BetMGM | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 06:00 |
| theScore Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 09:25 |
| 888sport | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 09:10 |
| Betsson | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 09:10 |
| NordicBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 09:10 |
| Fliff | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.22%E -4.64%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 09:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.62%E -5.77%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.45%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 12:49 |
| BoyleSports | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.02%E -1.44%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 04:50 |
| Sky Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 11:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 06:00 |
| Neds | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 06:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 06:00 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 06:01 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 11:59 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| Caesars | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -12.95%E -4.47%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.42%E -2.48%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 20:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| Matchbook | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-04-18 12:45 |
| Novig | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| Smarkets | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73% | 2.5% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |