Szkoła Kursów

Alex Molcan v Ben Shelton

Początek: 2026-04-18 13:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

62 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Alex Molcan (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 30.02%3.33kurs godziwy
EV +3.85%
Przewaga +1.11%
Kelly +1.57%
Wzrost +0.060%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.46

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
28.12%29.93%30.23%32.24%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.903.153.153.4634.48%31.70%31.75%28.90%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Ben Shelton (Goście)

Prognoza 69.98%1.43kurs godziwy
EV -2.02%
Przewaga -1.44%
Kelly -5.05%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.40

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
67.76%70.07%69.77%71.88%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.301.351.351.4076.92%74.04%74.07%71.43%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (62 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle3.46I 28.90%NM 28.22%EV +3.85%E +1.11%K +1.57%G +0.060%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.78%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-18 12:50
DraftKings3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +2.05%E +0.604%K +0.855%G +0.018%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 12:50
Winamax (DE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV +0.552%E +0.165%K +0.235%G +0.001%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-18 06:30
Betclic (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV +0.552%E +0.165%K +0.235%G +0.001%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 12:49
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.949%E -0.287%K -0.412%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 12:44
LowVig.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.45%E -0.754%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 11:30
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.45%E -0.754%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 11:30
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.45%E -0.754%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 12:50
NetBet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.45%E -0.754%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -8.32%E -6.35%K -26.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 12:49
GTbets3.21I 31.15%NM 30.37%EV -3.65%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.63%EV -2.02%E -1.44%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-18 12:01
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 05:54
Hard Rock Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 12:01
Bet Right3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:45
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:01
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:01
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:01
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:01
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:01
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:01
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:00
Bally Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:01
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:01
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:01
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:01
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:01
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:01
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.02%E -6.94%K -30.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 09:24
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.02%E -6.94%K -30.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 12:49
Coolbet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -4.55%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 10:49
1xBet3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV -4.85%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.67%EV -3.42%E -2.48%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 11:45
FanDuel3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.12%E -3.01%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 12:49
Fanatics3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 09:10
ReBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:31
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 11:30
Winamax (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 06:30
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 12:01
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 12:01
Marathon Bet3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -6.35%E -2.04%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 12:01
SportsBet3.12I 32.05%NM 30.04%EV -6.35%E -2.04%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.96%EV -6.22%E -4.64%K -18.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 12:49
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.42%E -2.48%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 12:45
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 07:20
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 06:00
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 09:25
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 11:30
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 11:30
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 11:30
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 11:30
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 09:10
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 09:10
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 09:10
Fliff3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.22%E -4.64%K -18.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 09:25
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.62%E -5.77%K -23.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 12:01
Unibet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.45%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 12:49
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.02%E -1.44%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 04:50
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 11:45
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 06:00
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 06:00
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 06:00
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 06:01
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 11:59
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 12:50
Caesars2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -12.95%E -4.47%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.42%E -2.48%K -9.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 20:20
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-04-18 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-04-18 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-04-18 12:50
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-04-18 12:45
Novig3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-04-18 12:50
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%2.5%2026-04-18 12:50