Idioma:Português
Alex Molcan v Ben Shelton
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Alex Molcan (Local)
Previsão 30.02%3.33odd justa
EV +3.85%
Vantagem +1.11%
Kelly +1.57%
Crescimento +0.060%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.46
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.12%29.93%30.23%32.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.153.153.4634.48%31.70%31.75%28.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Ben Shelton (Visitante)
Previsão 69.98%1.43odd justa
EV -2.02%
Vantagem -1.44%
Kelly -5.05%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.40
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
67.76%70.07%69.77%71.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.301.351.351.4076.92%74.04%74.07%71.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Alex Molcan (Local): 30.02%; Ben Shelton (Visitante): 69.98%. Para Alex Molcan (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.33. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.46, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.85%.
Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.46I 28.90%NM 28.22%EV +3.85%E +1.11%K +1.57%G +0.060% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.78%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +2.05%E +0.604%K +0.855%G +0.018% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV +0.552%E +0.165%K +0.235%G +0.001% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-18 06:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV +0.552%E +0.165%K +0.235%G +0.001% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-18 12:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.949%E -0.287%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-18 12:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.45%E -0.754%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.45%E -0.754%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.45%E -0.754%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.45%E -0.754%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -8.32%E -6.35%K -26.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 12:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.37%EV -3.65%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.63%EV -2.02%E -1.44%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 05:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.02%E -6.94%K -30.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 09:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.02%E -6.94%K -30.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 12:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -4.55%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV -4.85%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.67%EV -3.42%E -2.48%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-18 11:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.12%E -3.01%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-18 12:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 09:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:31 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 06:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -6.35%E -2.04%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.04%EV -6.35%E -2.04%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.96%EV -6.22%E -4.64%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 12:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.42%E -2.48%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-18 12:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 07:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 06:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 09:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 09:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 09:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 09:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.22%E -4.64%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 09:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.62%E -5.77%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.45%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 12:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.02%E -1.44%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 04:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 11:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 06:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 06:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 06:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 06:01 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 11:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -12.95%E -4.47%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.42%E -2.48%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 20:20 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (6)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-04-18 12:45 |
| Novig◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73% | 2.5% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |