A Escola das Odds

Alex Molcan v Ben Shelton

Início: 2026-04-18 13:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Alex Molcan (Local)

Previsão 30.02%3.33odd justa
EV +3.85%
Vantagem +1.11%
Kelly +1.57%
Crescimento +0.060%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.46

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.12%29.93%30.23%32.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.903.153.153.4634.48%31.70%31.75%28.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Ben Shelton (Visitante)

Previsão 69.98%1.43odd justa
EV -2.02%
Vantagem -1.44%
Kelly -5.05%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
67.76%70.07%69.77%71.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.301.351.351.4076.92%74.04%74.07%71.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle3.46I 28.90%NM 28.22%EV +3.85%E +1.11%K +1.57%G +0.060%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.78%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-18 12:50
DraftKings3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +2.05%E +0.604%K +0.855%G +0.018%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 12:50
Winamax (DE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV +0.552%E +0.165%K +0.235%G +0.001%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-18 06:30
Betclic (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV +0.552%E +0.165%K +0.235%G +0.001%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 12:49
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.949%E -0.287%K -0.412%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 12:44
LowVig.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.45%E -0.754%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 11:30
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.45%E -0.754%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 11:30
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.45%E -0.754%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 12:50
NetBet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.45%E -0.754%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -8.32%E -6.35%K -26.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 12:49
GTbets3.21I 31.15%NM 30.37%EV -3.65%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.63%EV -2.02%E -1.44%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-18 12:01
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 05:54
Hard Rock Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 12:01
Bet Right3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:45
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:01
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:01
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:01
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:01
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:01
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:01
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:00
Bally Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:01
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:01
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:01
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:01
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:01
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:01
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.02%E -6.94%K -30.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 09:24
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.02%E -6.94%K -30.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 12:49
Coolbet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -4.55%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 10:49
1xBet3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV -4.85%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.67%EV -3.42%E -2.48%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 11:45
FanDuel3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.12%E -3.01%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 12:49
Fanatics3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 09:10
ReBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:31
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 11:30
Winamax (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 06:30
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 12:01
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 12:01
Marathon Bet3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -6.35%E -2.04%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 12:01
SportsBet3.12I 32.05%NM 30.04%EV -6.35%E -2.04%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.96%EV -6.22%E -4.64%K -18.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 12:49
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.42%E -2.48%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 12:45
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 07:20
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 06:00
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 09:25
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 11:30
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 11:30
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 11:30
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 11:30
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 09:10
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 09:10
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 09:10
Fliff3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.22%E -4.64%K -18.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 09:25
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.62%E -5.77%K -23.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 12:01
Unibet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.45%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 12:49
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.02%E -1.44%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 04:50
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 11:45
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 06:00
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 06:00
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 06:00
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 06:01
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 11:59
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 12:50
Caesars2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -12.95%E -4.47%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.42%E -2.48%K -9.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 20:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-04-18 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-04-18 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-04-18 12:50
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-04-18 12:45
Novig3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-04-18 12:50
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%2.5%2026-04-18 12:50